Monday, June 6, 2011

Humala wins by five points early Fujimori according to exit polls polls

The nationalist candidate Ollanta Humala has a five-point lead in the race for the presidency of Peru, according to early exit polls polls to. The data give the candidate of Peru Earn 52.6% of the vote compared to 47.4% that give Keiko Fujimori's populist Force 2011. Although there are more than five points difference, the poll has a margin of error of three percentage points above and below.

Before an election so close and with so many undecided votes at stake, it is still impossible venture which one will become the next president, the 101 in the country's history since independence in 1821. In the local nationalist candidate's campaign, his team of advisers has already begun to celebrate the anticipated victory with slogans like "Yes we did, it could" and "Ollanta president." The company Ipsos-Apoyo, Datum ICC and offering their findings in two different television channels, agree Humala victory with over 52% of the vote, although government agencies have insisted that we must await the results of the National Electoral Processes.

For the traditional breakfast that candidates celebrate with their families before the television cameras before going to vote both condemned the attack on the narco-guerrilla Shining Path against a military patrol in Cuzco on the eve of elections. Five soldiers were killed. The ambush Peru reminded how fragile it is still in the fight against drug trafficking and gave the presidential candidates a chance to remember that both were committed to reinforcing the fight against crime.

"It was an act of terrorism, a crime against all Peruvians," said the daughter of former President Alberto Fujimori, in prison for crimes against humanity. Keiko spoke from his home in the Surco neighborhood of Lima, where he had breakfast with his family. The attack in Cuzco and Puno latent social conflict focused the spotlight of the cameras of the news channels in various parts of the Andean region.

This was where conflicts were expected the day, from lack of personnel or material to some polling stations open to allegations of fraud. In the final stretch of the campaign, the area once again reflected the serious problem of lack of presence of state institutions in many areas of the Peruvian mountains and forests and social conflicts that absence creates.

Environmental conflicts Just this Sunday marked the second anniversary of the worst social unrest in the country's recent history. The indigenous protest by the regulation of forestry and agricultural land in the northern Bagua (Amazonas) ended in a pitched battle with police that resulted in 33 deaths.

There are over 230 active and latent social conflicts in Peru and half has to do with issues involving environmental and indigenous communities. Most eventually leads to violence and further impoverish regions that have seen little of the economic boom that has benefited the country in the last decade and which, paradoxically, is in large part to the mineral resources produced in the mountains and forests.

The two candidates showed awareness of the challenges that await the president sworn in on 28 July, and both left the door open to agreements with other forces to rule. Neither political parties have a majority in Congress. Ollanta Humala said the tension and division that led the campaign must stop immediately.

"Peru can not be stopped. We have an economy to keep up, we must take our children to school ...". The nationalist, much calmer than when he ran for president for the first time in 2006, he appeared at breakfast with his wife and three children, two girls and a baby of five months. Aware that his radical leftist past attracts much concern among conservative and middle classes of a country that has generated much wealth in recent years thanks to a market economy, signed in May Humala the minutes of the Peruvian National Accord, a forum created during the presidency of Alejandro Toledo, which commits the signer to maintain a set of government policies that guarantee civil liberties.

Humala also published a letter to the Peruvian people promising to keep the market economy and respect private property. The document is identical to that used in 2002 Lula in Brazil to overcome the reluctance of employers after two failed attempts to win the presidency. Normal in both elections Toledo outgoing president Alan Garcia celebrated the normality with which elections were held and urged the next president to maintain policies for growth and employment creation and poverty reduction.

"Everyone knows who I voted for," Toledo said in reference to his support for Humala, "but I want you to know that I have not given a blank check, which will remain attentive and denounce any move that threatens democracy." Garcia of the APRA historical disgraced, made a call for unity after the elections and said the winner will have their full support.

The nationalist movement has accused of favoring Alan GarcĂ­a Fujimori's daughter during the campaign.

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