Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Strauss-Kahn, French socialists prepare for his succession to the challenge to Sarkozy

Faced with the refusal of U.S. courts to grant bail to Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the French Socialist Party breaks through the inertia and confirm the schedule of primaries for the race socialist Elysium 2012. The announcement, despite calls for caution on a story that many inside the PS, however, define a "private event", decreed the disappearance of the Director of the IMF by the French policy of at least the medium term.

Moreover, the PS can not afford missteps. And even if the Secretary socialist Martine Aubry said she was "stunned, even from images and accusations" and asked to wait for developments in the case, however, has no doubts about what to do. "What happens with Dominique is extremely serious, but nothing justifies a change in what we do - he assured the secretary, now expected in Bordeaux for the presentation of the 2012 draft after a meeting of the Socialist party when he invited her to stay united -.

We have a calendar and I respect him. " No change in plans, then. Nominations for the primaries will be submitted between June 28 and July 13. And the first round of voting will be Oct. 9. Completely open, however, the question of "successor" political Strauss-Kahn, considered by many to be the stronger opponent against Nicolas Sarkozy.

To those who call for a descent into the field officer of the Secretary, the Aubry says, "This is not the time." Meanwhile, already chasing the idea of climbing another strong man of the Party, François Hollande. This is asserted by the first Harris Interactive poll, conducted on the Internet in recent days and published today by Le Parisien.

Although it may not be representative of the intentions of the electorate left definitive, the data show that the public has not gone unnoticed beyond the Alps. 49% of Socialist supporters and 37% of those on the left in general, in fact, now would choose the former secretary François Hollande as Sarkozy's rival for the presidency.

The dividend by any other Socialist candidate is obvious: Martine Aubry stops respectively 23% and 22%, not to mention former candidate Ségolène Royal in the Elysium that gets only 10% and 14%. Among the reasons for the success of Hollande, say some analysts, the fact that many were already in Ps just undecided between him and Strauss-Khan.

Moreover, according to Harris Interactive's director Jean-Daniel Levy, "there is some commonality between the two characters, both of which put the emphasis on economic issues and put forward proposals rather than cutlery. Not only that: the moderate Hollande, former secretary and close to the Socialist Lionel Jospin, was shown on the field of volercela do at all costs, to the point that he never considered the possibility of stepping aside before the success of the Strauss- Khan in the polls.

"Compared Martine Aubry - also asserts Jean-Daniel Levy - Do not reveal the same determination." Whatever the next move of Martine Aubry, the Socialists will attempt to avoid the case that Strauss-Kahn to become an assist to the right. But if Sarkozy has avoided for the moment no official comment except, according to Le Monde, had indicated to her that this will cause many problems for Ps, we can not say the same for the Marine Le Pen's Front Nationale.

The far-right French leader has already launched a couple of hits. Not only is definitely calling "discredited" Strauss-Khan, but also by attacking the political class and the French press have always been silent for a certain attitude "pathological" by the Director of the IMF towards women.

Tiziana Guerrisi - Letter 22

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