But Al-Qaeda, through some networks may still exerts an influence on some Taliban groups in Pakistan. The death of bin Laden can only diminish their influence and promote a dialogue between the Taliban and the central government in Kabul. For the American public, which is outside these complexities, the death of bin Laden will further diminish the sense that the war in Afghanistan is necessary.
In this sense, it will weigh about Barack Obama that he actually starts a withdrawal of U.S. troops in July this year, as he promised. He could announce that date the start of some five thousand American soldiers on the hundred thousand who are involved in Afghanistan. It is a complex subject, as are the relations between both countries.
It can be argued, firstly, that the fact that bin Laden was hiding 50 km from the capital, Islamabad, not in the remote border areas with Afghanistan, will further exacerbate the suspicions of complicity between part of the ISI and Al Qaeda. At the very least, a big convenience of such services in respect of al-Qaida, because it is difficult to convince anyone that the Pakistani ubiquitous services - the ISI - did not know that bin Laden was in this neighborhood that houses select number of senior officers to retire.
But it can also be argued that there was a green light to the Pakistani American operation and that it reflects a constructive cooperation with Washington to Islamabad. One can speculate that this operation means that Pakistan, under pressure from a domestic situation increasingly destabilized, has finally decided to cooperate against radical Islam.
I think the "Arab Spring," these events for six months now, shaking the Arab world, meant the end of the attraction of radical Islam - jihadism advocated by bin Laden - has been practicing in this part the world. That's a revolt that is the name of democracy and freedom, and not on behalf of political Islam, jihadism, hatred of the West, hatred "of the Crusaders and Jews", all themes dear to Ben Laden.
At no time, none of the spokespersons of the rebellion, whether in Tunis, Cairo, Damascus and Benghazi, was not claimed Bin Laden or Al Qaeda. On the contrary. In this sense, it seems to me that bin Laden was already dead politically before the U.S. operation that cost him his life in Pakistan.
This does not mean there is not here and there branches of Al-Qaida in North Africa or elsewhere in the Arab world or even Africa, which continue to exist and to flourish. But the capacity for mobilization and training of jihadists themes, which were those of bin Laden, had remarkably decreased during the Arab spring.
On this point, I do not know. But the United States, as the Pakistani government, have warned their counterparts in the United States, Europe, in particular, that there would be reprisals from al-Qaida cells. Probably, but again, the important point seems rather to the lack of attraction of jihadist themes in Arab public opinion, judging by the slogans, slogans and rallying cries which are those of the Arab spring.
The fear is that there are affiliates of Al Qaeda or Al-Qaeda autonomous mini operating always, you know, in an arc of crisis running south from North Africa to the Sahel. These cells then, more or less loosely connected to the "parent", continue to exist, no doubt. I do not think at all.
With the drama that was the war in Iraq and the quagmire of Afghanistan, the American public is isolationist mood. The polls say a majority of Americans think the war in Iraq was a mistake and one that is pursued in Afghanistan is not necessary to the security of America. The American public knows that this over-commitment of his country to the outside is no stranger to the huge public debt beating down the federal budget and contributes significantly to the economic difficulties faced by the United States.
Finally, the country has, in the person of Barack Obama, a president who has repeatedly stressed the need for the U.S. to focus on addressing their internal problems rather than project their military forces around the globe . Chat moderated by Jonathan Parienté 
In this sense, it will weigh about Barack Obama that he actually starts a withdrawal of U.S. troops in July this year, as he promised. He could announce that date the start of some five thousand American soldiers on the hundred thousand who are involved in Afghanistan. It is a complex subject, as are the relations between both countries.
It can be argued, firstly, that the fact that bin Laden was hiding 50 km from the capital, Islamabad, not in the remote border areas with Afghanistan, will further exacerbate the suspicions of complicity between part of the ISI and Al Qaeda. At the very least, a big convenience of such services in respect of al-Qaida, because it is difficult to convince anyone that the Pakistani ubiquitous services - the ISI - did not know that bin Laden was in this neighborhood that houses select number of senior officers to retire.
But it can also be argued that there was a green light to the Pakistani American operation and that it reflects a constructive cooperation with Washington to Islamabad. One can speculate that this operation means that Pakistan, under pressure from a domestic situation increasingly destabilized, has finally decided to cooperate against radical Islam.
I think the "Arab Spring," these events for six months now, shaking the Arab world, meant the end of the attraction of radical Islam - jihadism advocated by bin Laden - has been practicing in this part the world. That's a revolt that is the name of democracy and freedom, and not on behalf of political Islam, jihadism, hatred of the West, hatred "of the Crusaders and Jews", all themes dear to Ben Laden.
At no time, none of the spokespersons of the rebellion, whether in Tunis, Cairo, Damascus and Benghazi, was not claimed Bin Laden or Al Qaeda. On the contrary. In this sense, it seems to me that bin Laden was already dead politically before the U.S. operation that cost him his life in Pakistan.
This does not mean there is not here and there branches of Al-Qaida in North Africa or elsewhere in the Arab world or even Africa, which continue to exist and to flourish. But the capacity for mobilization and training of jihadists themes, which were those of bin Laden, had remarkably decreased during the Arab spring.
On this point, I do not know. But the United States, as the Pakistani government, have warned their counterparts in the United States, Europe, in particular, that there would be reprisals from al-Qaida cells. Probably, but again, the important point seems rather to the lack of attraction of jihadist themes in Arab public opinion, judging by the slogans, slogans and rallying cries which are those of the Arab spring.
The fear is that there are affiliates of Al Qaeda or Al-Qaeda autonomous mini operating always, you know, in an arc of crisis running south from North Africa to the Sahel. These cells then, more or less loosely connected to the "parent", continue to exist, no doubt. I do not think at all.
With the drama that was the war in Iraq and the quagmire of Afghanistan, the American public is isolationist mood. The polls say a majority of Americans think the war in Iraq was a mistake and one that is pursued in Afghanistan is not necessary to the security of America. The American public knows that this over-commitment of his country to the outside is no stranger to the huge public debt beating down the federal budget and contributes significantly to the economic difficulties faced by the United States.
Finally, the country has, in the person of Barack Obama, a president who has repeatedly stressed the need for the U.S. to focus on addressing their internal problems rather than project their military forces around the globe . Chat moderated by Jonathan Parienté
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