Monday, May 16, 2011

The electoral projections predict a victory Turn left onto Milny

After one and a half of votes, the polls have closed the polls Italian at three in the afternoon. The first screening of vote RAI (public television) in the Italian city predicts the victory of center-left in Milan, Turin and Bologna. In Milan, the center-right mayor, Letizia Moratti, 42% would be the candidate of the Democratic Party, Giuliano Pisapia, 46.5%.

According to early polls for municipal Milan and Naples, no candidate obtained more than 50% of the vote, so it would require a runoff, which is set for within 15 days. Partial official data show that participation has voted 72% of the census, representing a decrease of 1.5 points over the 2006 municipal.

Milan, stronghold of the right center for 18 years, is the centerpiece of the election. Berlusconi has given his face in his hometown as head of the list of the alliance of the LDP and the Northern League, but polls announced a matched battle between Moratti and attorney Pisapia, a candidate outside the Democratic Party apparatus who won by storm primary PD.

Much more fragmented is the poll of likely voters in Naples, where the LDP candidates would be imposed according to projections by the RAI in 43% of the vote, compared with 19% of Mario Morcone, the candidate of the Democratic Party (PD ), and 23% of Luigi di Magistris, representative of Italy of Values.

The projections also predict PD clear victories in Turin and Bologna, with more slack in the first than the second. In Bologna, Virginio Merola, the candidate promoted by the center-left primary would be imposed with 48% of the vote, skimming the edge of the second turn on the young lawyer from the Northern League Manes Bernardini, Carroccio striker's assault and LDP to the red city, which would remain at 32%.

In Turin, Piero Fassino, a veteran leader of the Italian left, collect 54% of preferences, while the young local talent right, Michele Coppola, gets about 30% of the vote. Thirteen million Italians were called yesterday and today to vote to renew the municipalities of 1,274 municipalities, and elect the presidents of eleven provinces.

The inflow to the polling stations at ten o'clock on Sunday night was two points lower than in the municipal elections of 2006, while participation grew up in Milan and Turin. The cities where the successful candidates do not reach 50% plus one vote in the first round to decide the tie between the two most voted lists the last weekend of June.

Although only one-fifth vote of the 60 million people in the country, the elections appear as an important political consideration. Both the Government, which carries the legal problems of Silvio Berlusconi last December and survived a censure motion after the split of the group led by Gianfranco Fini, as the opposition feel they need for reasons other than direct support of their constituents.

In recent months, polls have shown a growing distaste for the public to a political class that is increasingly detached from the needs and concerns of voters. With his popularity at record lows, Berlusconi has been used to fund the campaign and has tried to make the appointment, the most important before the end of the legislature in 2013, in a referendum personalistic foregrounding processes and climate maintaining open war with Milan prosecutors, accusing them of wanting to subvert the popular vote and in his pursuit for purely political reasons.

Today, with the polls still open, Berlusconi has appeared for the fifth time before the judges, this time in the court being tried for corruption of the British lawyer David Mills. For the center-left, which has lost one after another the past four election dates, the new litmus test will measure the extent of fractures of the Democratic Party, plagued by constant infighting and that has made these three years of opposition to Berlusconi in a depressed crossing the desert, marked by the indolence of its leaders.

The PD has ruled the cities of Naples, Turin and Bologna recent years, and previous polls had predicted that in all likelihood lose the southern capital, where the left has put forward two candidates, unlike what has happened in other places , where PD is presented in alliance with Left, Ecology and Freedom (SEL), the party of Nichi Vendola, with Italy of Values, the group led by Antonio di Pietro.

Debut Party electoral Fini The elections also represent electoral debut Futures and Freedom, the purged group Gianfranco Fini, and the Third Pole, the center alliance with the Christian Democrats of the UDC of Pierferdinando Casini and the small party of Francesco Rutelli, a former Catholic leader of the PD.

Fini and Casini, the two old allies of Berlusconi, seeking a place in the sun away from the tycoon who has set national policy in the past 20 years, and rendered them in various stages, presidents of the Chamber of Deputies. If the LDP votes scratch and no second round, your support is crucial in large cities.

Another emerging factor is the movement Five Star, founded and promoted, especially through Internet, by the Genoese comedian Beppe Grillo. Its young candidates, many college students simply as the candidate Milan Mattia Calise, 20, made the campaign caravan proclaiming their cleanliness and honesty and "death" of professional politicians.

In Naples, with eleven candidates in the lists, favorite Gianni Lettieri, a former local leader of the Employer, appeared high on his head. After 16 years of center-left government, Berlusconi, who dominates the region and the province has taken the rest to recover a hall full of debts and problems (all one, garbage) that is also the largest employer in southern Italy and therefore a powerful patronage machine.

A figure summarizes the eminently macho Italian politics: the number of male applicants is 3,976, compared to 557 women. 86% of men versus 14% women. The average low in Campania: 93% vs. 7%. In 800 municipalities, no woman candidate for mayor. Among them, Naples, Trieste, Reggio Calabria, Brindisi or Prato.

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