Friday, April 8, 2011

Humala soars in polls

The latest election poll released yesterday to the foreign press in Lima by Ipsos gives the nationalist candidate Ollanta Humala is a clear advantage for Sunday's election with 28% of voting intentions. Behind this lies Keiko Fujimori, daughter of former President Alberto Fujimori, jailed for crimes against humanity, with 21%, followed closely by the exmandatario Alejandro Toledo and former Minister of Economics Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (aka PPK), both with 18%.

The survey predicts that Humala will go to the second round, scheduled for June 5, adding suspense about who will be your rival. Analysts concede that the electoral strategy devised by political marketing expert João Santana, who helped Lula da Silva to win the presidency in 2002 after three failed attempts, is bearing fruit.

Brazilian advisers sent by Lula seem to have soften the radical image of Peru Earn candidate to vote scratching of the middle class and business. Meanwhile, Keiko Fujimori's campaign is burdened by the memory of his father's authoritarianism, despite their efforts to present a very positive legacy of Fujimori.

Toledo, El Cholo, who until a month ago led the polls, has lost much of the conservative vote in the hands of Kuczynski. Yesterday, a second survey of the company CPI PPK does give an advantage to four points on the candidate of Peru Posible, which achieved only 15% of the vote. The situation has led to El Cholo made a desperate appeal to APRA, Alan García's party, to give him their votes.

The historic APRA not attend the presidential candidate of their own after signing star resort as the former Minister of Economy Mercedes Araoz and she later resigned to distance itself from accusations of corruption hanging over some candidates APRA to Congress. What seems increasingly clear, according to the polls, is that none of the political forces will choose a presidential majority in the future parliament.

None of the five parties in the running for the presidency, including leading the former mayor of Lima, Luis Castañeda (far behind in the polls) will be in the best more than 30 deputies in the Congress 130 seats very fragmented with a long tradition of political turncoat. The situation will not leave choice to the future president to seek partnerships to carry out its project of governance.

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