Friday, March 4, 2011

Turn the fray Chinese companions, eating is glorious "

BEIJING - Comrades consume is glorious. Thirty years after the order to become rich, given by Deng Xiaoping after the death of Mao Zedong, China's post-communist market prepares to fulfill a new obligation: to spend. Comrades no longer exist and the name has just been abolished in public life. The money, however, remain, and in the East are always more: the revolution of Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao, that a year will go down from the throne of the Forbidden City, aims to move from state coffers to those of families, by the individual party .

The Chinese come out of warehouses and entering the shopping center. The nation that is driving the fragile world economic recovery, inaugurates a new era: one in which domestic consumption will have to replace exports. For the planet is a watershed and markets, together with international registries, follow with bated breath for the work of the People's Political Consultative Conference and National People's Congress, called to launch the twelfth five-year plan of the Republic of China.

It means deciding how to use one third of global wealth, a quarter of the earth's natural resources and one-sixth of the destinies of mankind. And even today, closed the season "harmony", the order of power is clear: Xingfu, that happiness and prosperity. The older ones remember that it is the same one that the Great Helmsman of the masses in the early 60s of the twentieth century and is not a coincidence that, officially to dive into the future, Beijing essentially takes refuge in the past.

For leadership in power does not change the essential goal: to maintain stability, which in China is a way to secure the indisputable authority of the party. Since 2008, the beginning of the crisis of the western economy degenerated into finance for its own sake, even for China, emerged strengthened from the crash, Euro-American, everything has changed.

Chinese leaders have understood that to entrust the fate of the national orders of foreign goods, may mark the terminus of the longest-lived dynasty of the Empire. At Beijing, strong and decisive as ever today, burdened by a sense of urgency and months of uncertainty, as if the pinnacle of success marks the border with the defeat of a system.

The authorities, the specter of revolution shook the Mediterranean, you suddenly realize that to conquer the world have actually delivered the country in his hands, making them vulnerable from the outside. Roads, airports, trains, rockets and skyscrapers, the result of slavery practiced in the factory to support export, no longer enough.

The exit from the crisis, for the rest of the world, will be slow and if the West does not buy more, it's up to the East become the "One Customer" for all. On the eve of the turn, which will get 1.34 billion more people not to hide the money under the mattress, but investment in what until recently were called "bourgeois depravity", universally known as "consumption", has gone so the mantra of state propaganda.

China has ordered its officials to stop building bridges and evict farmers, "to give joy to the people instead." Premier Wen Jiabao has frozen three thousand delegates of the parliament. "The assessment of officials will not be made based on the number of buildings and projects, or on the growth of the region's GDP.

Will look at the ability to make people happy." It 'a jolt that shakes the big industrial lobbies, the blocks of power to regions with a budget three times as many EU countries, the belly of the maximalist party and the relocation of the same multinationals. In step farewell to President Hu Jintao, who will go down in history as the most gray technocrat who survived the collapse of the "world Sovieticus", then try the revolution capable of retrieving the memory.

The columns of the plan, made public by early tomorrow, but the government press, there are three. China move from low-cost manufacturing exports to domestic consumption generated by the development of services. Increase wages and lower taxes on low and medium income. Create a network of welfare, from public health and welfare, allowing the population to not save all life to die in order to avoid abandonment.

Beijing live online in the nightmare of a revolt sparked by the West and to avert it adopts the view of capitalism that has fought for 62 years. The characteristics, however, as always, will be Chinese. "Our mission - said Hu Jintao at the Central Party School - is to build a system of socialist management to safeguard the interests and rights of the people, which if ignored could cause damage to social stability." A few hours after the launch of the most impressive economic reform of our time, will change the face not only of China, a shock survey has revealed that after thirty years of boom only 6% of Chinese were satisfied.

The first enemy is to beat inflation, which according to 87% of the population will continue to grow in 2011. In 2010 rose by 3.3% in February and has reached 4.9%, compared to 4% target in 2011. Food prices soared by 10.3%, however, the fruit as much as 30%. The central bank attempts to cool the money are essentially bankrupt and for the first time the government was forced to revise downwards the growth target.

Over the next five years to make their own sustainable development, China aims to calm the economy grew at an average of 7%, compared with 8% announced for the past five years. In 2010 China's GDP has actually registered a 10.3% and more the trend results in higher expectations will not change.

But the message is unmistakable: the goal state is no longer making money to control an old proletarian masses, but to provide services to manage the expectations of a new middle class. The leaders of the party, in the early stages of political transition and on the eve of economic reforms, have never been stingy with promise.

What is now proposed to the Chinese, however, than any previous. "The ideology of happiness" includes, as if by magic, stop inflation, tax cuts for the lower classes and the general increase in salaries. In 2011 the minimum wage will increase by another 20%, as last year but with peaks of 75% in inland areas.

A worker will go from 124 to 146 € per month. In cities, the average payroll will be € 2 000 per year, compared with € 600 earned in rural areas. Wen Jiabao will announce tomorrow that the growing disparities between billionaires and miserable, irrepressible source of popular anger, will be overcome, as the gap between cities and villages, including costs and domestic industrial medieval.

With the fight against public corruption, which is demolishing the respect for the party, but the big bet on China's assistance, housing, employment, environment, agriculture and education. In five years the weight borne by the individual's health will drop 40 to 30%, the pension will be pegged to inflation, crime will not pay employees and farmers will benefit from unprecedented contributions to the modernization of the crop.

To turn off the risk of a "housing bubble", the beginning of the end of thirty years ago in Japan, the state will not only curb the credit in 2011 will deliver 10 million of housing, which will become 36 million by 2015. Investment in clean energy, food security, and cutting harmful emissions (-17% per unit of GDP within five years, -40% in 2020) will put China in the first place in the world, such as those in hi-tech, scientific research , culture and development of universities.

A country with 700 million white-collar workers need to be creative and innovative: Beijing, pursuing leadership in science, is not ready to export more container of jeans, but loads of file patents. This charming bud China millennium, our extreme hold, presents an unknown and a contraindication.

The first is the percentage chance that the promises are translated into action. The government, externally, abuses in monolithic authoritarianism, but inside is divided between local factions and lobbies opposing economic, nationalist conservatism often limited by the dependence imposed by the military.

The change, if it appears possible, will prove to be slower and more difficult than advertised. The limit of one China is forced to spend instead of reducing the trade imbalance with other countries. Will give a breath of fresh air exchange rates, although Wen Jiabao has confirmed that the revaluation of the yuan will proceed with the parking brake pulled, but the Chinese will cut the funds to be invested to save the deficit of the West, from the United States and European Union.

The heirs of Mao distribute money to sow the obligation of spending and the nightmare of debt, extreme antidote against the dawn of internal dissent and external enemies of the sunset. But give up, once again, to donate to the Chinese dignity, rights and freedoms. And the disconnect between purchase and participation that can break up the secular experiment of the "consumerist companion." If so, we will not drop just the last dynasty of the last empire.

No comments:

Post a Comment