Saturday, March 12, 2011

On the Libyan revolt risk of a tombstone

TRIPOLI - without help from outside and now will no longer happen in a few days, the Libyan rebels will be silenced. And if indeed this prediction comes true, it will be a combination of factors that would humiliate the United States and Europe for their reckless behavior: in many ways have encouraged the rebels against the regime of Colonel Gaddafi without thinking that, at the appropriate time would not be able to take a step to help in the only way it would be useful for them: a limited but immediate military action.

Of course, if this prediction will come true to actually be first on the effectiveness of the machine to "total war" of Gaddafi. "Total" in the sense that supports the military capability to that of the secret police, espionage and internal repression. Yesterday, the center of Zawiya, the martyred city of Tripoli, was the symbol of this integrated approach.

The city looked like a battlefield devastated by a fury like no other. The minaret of the mosque, cut in half by a cannon shot, gutted buildings, roads torn up by tank fire and blocked by dozens of crumpled cars. The rebels were all killed or captured by the secret police, their families threatened and warned them one by one.

For Zawiya, too close to Tripoli, there was no chance of survival, but seems to be the same for all other cities of Libya. It might be the case even for Benghazi. Today, Saturday, the Libyan government will bring in "outing" embedded journalists in Ras Lanuf just regained: Qaddafi's army, supported by aviation, is extending his grip to the East Ras Lanuf After the night came the first call Adjdabja anticipating an attack.

When this center will also fall Benghazi will be completely isolated in the West. The rebels are forced to fight alone against the Air Force, guns, tanks Gaddafi. The aid, incitement to revolt against the colonel arrived in the United States these days, failure as a partner by the EU may only be a boomerang for the rebels who may not have calculated to the full force of the regime and the reluctance any military involvement in Europe.

James Clapper, the head of U.S. intelligence has said publicly with the "criminal" all-American ingenuity that will have no effect other than to strengthen the colonel that the U.S. itself would break down: "In the long run it is likely that Gaddafi will prevail." Gaddafi faces at this time an American president who keeps saying "all options are on the table" but has not yet decided which to choose.

A European Union reiterated yesterday that "Gaddafi is not a party," but he soon will choose other partners. And finally, an Arab League in Cairo today expected to not produce any noticeable reaction. Meanwhile, the colonel in addition to military operations has strengthened its political control over the city that dominates among all Tripoli.

Friday in the capital, virtually no one has dared to take to the streets after prayers. The district Tajura was filled with tear gas even before the faithful just-dissidents from entering the mosques. Night after night, the regime continues to get rid of a young family from all potentially dissident terror and to strengthen the new hostages in the hands that have terrorized the rest of the group.

Again: the three Libyan television networks as well as giving the replicas of the speeches of leaders and Saif, they started to make a propaganda pounding, terrifying, showing the torture and violence to which the rebels are also guilty in the early days. Six Libyan soldiers are filmed sitting on a couch, asked in a thousand screams, a few minutes later, their bodies lie on the ground, hands tied behind their backs, their throats cut the throats horribly.

Another video from chills, obsessively repeated to the people of Libya, is one of the rebels in Benghazi dance and cheer up a tank burned. In his hands, one of them performs the shreds of the body of a soldier, and later something is presented as the heart of the burned soldier. A rebel also tries to run over with his boot.

True or false, these images reinforce the sense of terror in Tripolina, sdntimento of a fear of the insurgency. These images of horror caustic rebel reinforce the legitimacy of a violent and brutal regime, but that many Libyans continue to be considered "our regime" led by the only leader able to keep Libya united.

At 3 weeks after the uprising in Libya, the story seems quite different from that of Egypt and Tunisia: Gaddafi could remain in circulation for a long time, and soon could stifle a gravestone in almost all the rebel movement Libya . With the United States and Europe and far to ask one thing the colonel: "Resign." He will not.

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