Monday, April 18, 2011

In Libya, patience cons stalemate

Even under the friendly pressure of Bernard-Henri Levy, who was its originator, Claude Lanzmann was signed March 16, "calling the last chance" for an intervention in Libya. The writer and filmmaker expresses today in these columns more than doubts about the strategy of the interference that leads to "a war without a name, after very uncertain." Parisian controversy? Maybe.

But very revealing of the growing embarrassment that now surrounds the international intervention in Libya. Stalled, discord and, ultimately, failure: that is, in fact, the sequence that threat. More coordinated military operations by NATO air trample over the coalition led by France and the United Kingdom will be exposed to wrangling and strife, which will only undermine its effectiveness.

This impotence arouse discomfort, or even reversal of public opinion, anxious to get out soon, Libya, as in Afghanistan, a theater converted into a quagmire. This scenario is not yet written. But it haunts the minds already. The insurgency, however, has not yet Jamahiriya celebrated nine weeks, and international intervention started there just over a month.

It is against the four decades of unchallenged power of Colonel Muammar Gaddafi should be measured, rather than the three weeks that saw extraordinary Hosni Mubarak of Egypt renounce the presidency, east of Benghazi. For four decades crushed by the footprint of the oldest functions of the despot in North Africa and the Middle East have wrapped Libya and the Libyans in a shroud of silence that has just been torn.

Rise of the major Libyan cities, with the exception of Tripoli, who regained the floor at the same time that freedom has taken the world by surprise. Especially since we did not know much, and long, reality Jamahiriya. Time, so it will take for the rebirth of civil society, and it makes its learning the rules of political representation and democracy.

It will certainly be much more than that deemed necessary by military planners to paralyze the Libyan regime. Time would certainly staunchest ally of the latter, if not defy the insurgency had different dynamic than his. This is not, and must instead constantly put this cyclical deadlock in the historical context of the "Arab spring".

In Tunisia as in Cairo, this movement has not been a spark off too quickly. In Tripoli, Colonel Qaddafi may permanently escape. Without doubt the path will Jamahiriya she tortuous. Maybe she will require compromises, such as interfaith dialogue Libyan contours remain vague mentioned in Doha by the contact group.

But this is probably the condition that engages another web-based insight, patience and hope. Article published in the edition of 17.04.11

No comments:

Post a Comment