Saturday, March 19, 2011

Sarkozy, Libya and the 2012 French presidential

French President Nicolas Sarkozy on Libya with the declarations made by Nicolas Sarkozy in the last week officially opened the campaign for the French presidential elections of spring 2012. After the pressure to create a no-fly zone on Libya and prepare a possible armed intervention and the recognition of the National Committee of Benghazi on the part of Paris can be read as yet another attempt by the French President to garner votes in the French community of North African origin and at the same time to increase the consent of the French right, thanks to a newfound prestige in foreign policy.

One step forward that has startled even the gentle Lady Ashton, representing the EU's foreign policy: "We can not take unilaterally to recognize groups," said a spokesman, while the EU is to find a sweat seven shirts common position towards the crisis in Libya. With respect to a hypothetical military action, just the Ashton has stated on several occasions that the decision can not be taken without a mandate from the UN Security Council, a position shared by the NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen.

But Sarkozy is not enough, so that last week, along with British Prime Minister David Cameron, has sent a letter to the European Council in which he confirmed that "the National Council of Benghazi is a credible political party" and drew "the possibility of establishing a no-fly zone on Libya and the implementation of "other options (military intervention, ed) in the country." Just the official approval of the Board of Benghazi by Paris on the eve of last week's extraordinary EU Council, has made a jump on the chair at all the foreign ministers of Europe, including Franco Frattini, who has always stressed the need for make this decision in a "unanimous".

But where does this impulse of Sarkozy's commitment to democracy in the Maghreb? Probably by the approach of the French presidential elections of spring 2012. The latest polls, in fact, see it in its free fall against his right-wing electorate, aided the recent scandals in the Elysee, the first of the affair Woerth-Bettencourt (a big case involving illegal financing his party).

So Sark risks losing votes in favor of the extreme right National Front, the party's 42-year old Marie Le Pen, daughter of art by Jean-Marie Le Pen, the creator and ideologue of the nationalist party positions characterized by authoritarian, xenophobic and anti Europe. According to a poll Ifop, the probable candidate of the Socialist Dominique Strauss-Kahn would have to lead with 26 percent approval rating, compared with 22 percent of the owner urged his Élysée by Marine Le Pen, at 19 percent.

In short, the 2012 presidential elections are approaching and Sarkozy might not even get on the ballot. This is why French President engaged in a series of government reshuffles in search of credibility among his countrymen. To pick up the bill on February 27 were Foreign Minister Michèle Alliot-Marie and Interior Minister Brice Hortefeux, 65, replaced by Alain Juppe and the faithful Claude Guéant.

In a speech on television Sarkozy had commented: "It 's time to boost the international image of France." And the dirty laundry in foreign policy? Better to wash them at home. Like the picture of Gaddafi's visit to France in December 2007, where Rais shakes hands with a smiling Sarkozy, Elysée mysteriously disappeared from the site.

To find out it was the French journalist Jean-Marc Manach. This, however, the picture of French president on a visit to Tripoli, but to find it on the site should write to the Elysée searching the French word "Libya" by reversing the "i" with "y". Coincidence? Perhaps, but as we all know politics is also special.

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