Saturday, March 19, 2011

From Iraq to Libya, the new geopolitics

Contrary to what could have been anticipated after the rebels had initially taken aback, Colonel Gaddafi, Europe and the United States have been slow and to take a decision, but above all to please take a common intervention in Libya. Skip to the eyes, however, as the pillars of the Atlantic Alliance are aligned differently today than they were before the UN resolution authorizing military intervention in fact ally against Tripoli.

On the one hand Britain a and France, linked by a recent military pact, that reversing a historic distrust, have called first for a no-fly zone (Cameron), and have repeatedly called direct military action in favor of the insurgents (Sarkozy) . On their side the United States, according to many, this time as it dragged more than driving.

Obama's reluctance in supporting the no-fly zone is the result of an impasse has arisen within his own government, which sees the Secretary of Defense Robert Gates - independent, but as you know very close to the Republican - located at positions opposite to those of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

Only a few days ago, Clinton has announced that among other things, even if Obama's re-election in 2012, will not work at his side. One way to reveal the contrast with the wait-line of the President, his entourage and she tried so scathing - according to well-informed - like a group of amateurs in foreign policy.

Finally there's Germany and Italy. The first, with a cautious position of all external support focused on the diplomatic strategy of sanctions and deterrence (just look at the interview to the press by Defence Minister Guido Westerwelle). The second, which after many pirouettes Frattini and Russia is invariably B.

, Coupled with understandable fears, given our geographic proximity and historical Libya, decided last night to participate fully in place of military action. The substance is that within a few hours, the geopolitical axis that has held Europe for years seems upset. No more Paris-Berlin-European heart center and peace on the one hand, to act as a counterbalance to the interventionist Washington and London on the other, symbolically as happened during the war in Iraq.

Remain open at this point two questions. The first, as the Alliance will move so configured with respect to the crisis and already started to come, as Bahrain, Yemen, and then who knows, or even Saudi Arabia UAE. Cameron and Sarkozy will still be leading the European interventionist line, leaving the U.S.

and Germany to catch up or even balance? And that will take place at that point the Arab League, currently deployed uniformly against Gadhafi? The second relates specifically to our country. Where will align Rome, from now on, or from London to Berlin, where would again fail to come to her Washington, which likes to hide behind natural reference not to stand too much on the European scene? What is certain for now is that our diplomacy has appeared on this occasion once again displaced and marginalized.

Just us, for many reasons we should have the heart to Libya more than all the others.

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