Benghazi - The news that the bloody "Arab spring" Syria is investing too much catches me by surprise, as I follow the Libyan civil war. And not just because the dictator, in every capital of the Maghreb and Makresch, on the East and West, are almost all destined to fall like bowling pins despots or maintained for the time in the saddle, like Gaddafi, scattering corpses.
The father of the Syrian president was a general aviation. It was named the East Bismark. He was cold and hard. Took power in Damascus in 1971, two years after Colonel Muammar Gaddafi took him to Tripoli. The two coups d'etat took place in different contexts. A weak against the Syrian regime.
Who had been defeated and humiliated in a battle of the Bedouin armored troops of King Hussein of Jordan after Black September, who had opposed the Palestinian Al Fatah, which Arafat was the leader, and the Bedouins of the Hashemite monarch. Rather than siding with Arafat, Syria had used the occasion to face the opponent's King Hussein.
In Libya, but was wiped out a monarchy fragile, uncertain in dealing with the new oil wealth. But both coups have since confirmed that the despotism in the Arab world was reserved in those troubled decades, the military. Hafez el-Assad (Assad I) actually seemed destined for a brief career as a dictator.
I was in Beirut at that time and I would not bet a dime on him. He belonged to a minority, was a Alawite, a current of Islam in Syria relegated to the mountains, and therefore would not hold, as the sophisticated analysts in Beirut, the inevitable rivalry of other communities, much more numerous and accustomed Aid organizations say that the country in 30 years have gone 17 000 people to govern.
One after another, friends and fellow Lebanese and Syrian writers instead of that prophecy died before him. Were killed in the ending the Lebanese civil war, in which Hafez el-Assad has always had a central role and deleterious. Among the victims was an old friend, the Christian Maronite Edouard Saab, courageous editor of the daily Le Jour, struck by a bullet in the head in central Beirut, while he was driving his car.
Sitting next to him, Henry Tanner of the New York Times came out unscathed. Assad senior died in his bed, and his son Bashar succeeded him eleven years ago. Assad's look or feel like eternity. But despite appearances, the clever, unscrupulous balance on which for decades has supported the clan, based largely on the armed forces, began to wobble.
For this I'm not surprised at what is happening at this time. Although it is not easy to oust Assad. Its power has deep roots. And the blood flows easily in Syria. The army exists and matters. As he counted counts, and in Egypt, and has not rather in Libya, where Gaddafi a real army has not yet created.
Playing on the strategic position of Syria (the axis of the "Fertile Crescent" with Iraq and also neighboring Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey and Israel), the two Assad father and son, contrary to Egypt in Yemen and Jordan have never formed an alliance with the United States and have maintained a special relationship with Iran after the Khomeini revolution.
The Juggle Assad have relations with the Palestinians. They stirred up the rivalry between the currents. We have fought, killing more than they have killed Israelis. With Hamas, Bashar, the son, gets along. It is home to the leaders. Also exerts an influence on the Lebanese Hezbollah, with whom he knows to be strict when it comes to appeasing the concerns within his own country, where I live is the fear of being dragged by those Lebanese Shiite allies in exalted disorders similar to those that plague, bloody the neighboring Iraq.
In addition, Syria is still formally at war with Israel, which occupies an area on the Syrian Golan Heights. With the Assad clan have scores to settle with the Muslim Brotherhood, which his father Hafez massacred in the city of Hama, was demolished with bulldozers. In the Arab revolution raging, Syria's Assad has the distinction of being anti-American, as opposed to Ben Ali of Tunisia and Egypt's Mubarak.
Libya's Gaddafi escape any classification before being tragically isolated. But anti-Americanism does not represent a vaccine against democratic protest. The anger of the protesters in Tunis and Cairo was directed against their dictator, without reference to the United States and Israel.
And the Libyan rebels call for Western aid. Bashar el-Assad is accused by protesters of being a fake reformer. He graduated in medicine, and was converted to the policy to take the succession of his father, he lent itself as a man open to modernity, an avid surfer and an expert in computer science.
But did the timid brutally disperse demonstrations by youths armed with candles in the evening meeting in Damascus in support of the insurrection in Cairo. The case of Tal al-Malluhi, a girl of nineteen, author of the blog impertinent, arrested, abused, taken to court blindfolded and handcuffed, and sentenced to five years for spying for the United States, it did not the conversion of credible democratic Bashar.
The promises in favor of democracy, transparency and constructive criticism, have been touted for a long time. They were to promote the "Damascus Spring." But the regime has continued to maintain a state of emergency in force since 1963. This is why opponents denounce as a fraud performed the reformism of Bashar el-Assad.
And they have not believed when he announced in February that the events in Tunisia, Egypt and Yemen, had opened a new era in the Middle East. The attempt to tag along to the Arab spring did not succeed. The human rights organizations denounced Syria as a country where torture is practiced more than seventeen thousand people in thirty years would disappear. 
The father of the Syrian president was a general aviation. It was named the East Bismark. He was cold and hard. Took power in Damascus in 1971, two years after Colonel Muammar Gaddafi took him to Tripoli. The two coups d'etat took place in different contexts. A weak against the Syrian regime.
Who had been defeated and humiliated in a battle of the Bedouin armored troops of King Hussein of Jordan after Black September, who had opposed the Palestinian Al Fatah, which Arafat was the leader, and the Bedouins of the Hashemite monarch. Rather than siding with Arafat, Syria had used the occasion to face the opponent's King Hussein.
In Libya, but was wiped out a monarchy fragile, uncertain in dealing with the new oil wealth. But both coups have since confirmed that the despotism in the Arab world was reserved in those troubled decades, the military. Hafez el-Assad (Assad I) actually seemed destined for a brief career as a dictator.
I was in Beirut at that time and I would not bet a dime on him. He belonged to a minority, was a Alawite, a current of Islam in Syria relegated to the mountains, and therefore would not hold, as the sophisticated analysts in Beirut, the inevitable rivalry of other communities, much more numerous and accustomed Aid organizations say that the country in 30 years have gone 17 000 people to govern.
One after another, friends and fellow Lebanese and Syrian writers instead of that prophecy died before him. Were killed in the ending the Lebanese civil war, in which Hafez el-Assad has always had a central role and deleterious. Among the victims was an old friend, the Christian Maronite Edouard Saab, courageous editor of the daily Le Jour, struck by a bullet in the head in central Beirut, while he was driving his car.
Sitting next to him, Henry Tanner of the New York Times came out unscathed. Assad senior died in his bed, and his son Bashar succeeded him eleven years ago. Assad's look or feel like eternity. But despite appearances, the clever, unscrupulous balance on which for decades has supported the clan, based largely on the armed forces, began to wobble.
For this I'm not surprised at what is happening at this time. Although it is not easy to oust Assad. Its power has deep roots. And the blood flows easily in Syria. The army exists and matters. As he counted counts, and in Egypt, and has not rather in Libya, where Gaddafi a real army has not yet created.
Playing on the strategic position of Syria (the axis of the "Fertile Crescent" with Iraq and also neighboring Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey and Israel), the two Assad father and son, contrary to Egypt in Yemen and Jordan have never formed an alliance with the United States and have maintained a special relationship with Iran after the Khomeini revolution.
The Juggle Assad have relations with the Palestinians. They stirred up the rivalry between the currents. We have fought, killing more than they have killed Israelis. With Hamas, Bashar, the son, gets along. It is home to the leaders. Also exerts an influence on the Lebanese Hezbollah, with whom he knows to be strict when it comes to appeasing the concerns within his own country, where I live is the fear of being dragged by those Lebanese Shiite allies in exalted disorders similar to those that plague, bloody the neighboring Iraq.
In addition, Syria is still formally at war with Israel, which occupies an area on the Syrian Golan Heights. With the Assad clan have scores to settle with the Muslim Brotherhood, which his father Hafez massacred in the city of Hama, was demolished with bulldozers. In the Arab revolution raging, Syria's Assad has the distinction of being anti-American, as opposed to Ben Ali of Tunisia and Egypt's Mubarak.
Libya's Gaddafi escape any classification before being tragically isolated. But anti-Americanism does not represent a vaccine against democratic protest. The anger of the protesters in Tunis and Cairo was directed against their dictator, without reference to the United States and Israel.
And the Libyan rebels call for Western aid. Bashar el-Assad is accused by protesters of being a fake reformer. He graduated in medicine, and was converted to the policy to take the succession of his father, he lent itself as a man open to modernity, an avid surfer and an expert in computer science.
But did the timid brutally disperse demonstrations by youths armed with candles in the evening meeting in Damascus in support of the insurrection in Cairo. The case of Tal al-Malluhi, a girl of nineteen, author of the blog impertinent, arrested, abused, taken to court blindfolded and handcuffed, and sentenced to five years for spying for the United States, it did not the conversion of credible democratic Bashar.
The promises in favor of democracy, transparency and constructive criticism, have been touted for a long time. They were to promote the "Damascus Spring." But the regime has continued to maintain a state of emergency in force since 1963. This is why opponents denounce as a fraud performed the reformism of Bashar el-Assad.
And they have not believed when he announced in February that the events in Tunisia, Egypt and Yemen, had opened a new era in the Middle East. The attempt to tag along to the Arab spring did not succeed. The human rights organizations denounced Syria as a country where torture is practiced more than seventeen thousand people in thirty years would disappear.
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