Thursday, March 3, 2011

Doubts on U.S. no-fly zones "do not have enough forces"

NEW YORK - China does not want it, "The solution to the crisis Libyan be achieved only by peaceful means." Russia is not: "It would risk a new Afghanistan." For Turkey "is an absurdity." France takes time: "Priorities for humanitarian aid." The hypothesis of the no-fly zone imposed on Libya, the prohibition of the airspace to bomb Gaddafi to prevent the rebels, is colliding with enormous resistance.

The Chinese and Russian opposition is enough to make the missing votes in the UN Security Council, and that a United Nations mandate is considered essential by the United States. But the U.S. military leadership are other objections, which was once unthinkable: Washington no longer has the means to fight another war, even in coalition with allies.

Army, Air Force, even the legendary U.S. Navy, are exhausted and do not make it any more. Just as the riots in the Middle East create a new front of instability - in which squeezes Iran, whose military ships today have returned from Suez - the discovery of America is discovered dangerously and with a presence far more "subtle" in past.

And 'what transpires from a flurry of statements in Washington reported in the last hour "Full speed astern." Almost a repudiation of the political leaders, that the no-fly zones were unbalanced: Barack Obama has spoken with the UN secretary general Ban Ki-moon, Hillary Clinton has not ruled out, as well as UN ambassador Susan Rice.

The most authoritative stop right comes instead from the Secretary of Defense Robert Gates: "Impose a no-fly zone includes, above all attacks and the bombing of Libya to destroy its defenses (military airfields, antiaircraft, ed), only then can you begin overflights without the risk that our fighters do you break down.

" Gates concludes with a warning: "It 's a big operation, even for challenging the extent of Libya, would require many more bombers than they transport a single aircraft carrier." This warning makes it hard to believe another option: the offer of the Arab League, which yesterday proposed taking on the no-fly zone in concert with the African Union.

Two bodies whose States do not have some military fleets or air forces comparable to the United States. Gates is the same as a few days ago at the Military Academy at West Point had warned: "The next time a Secretary of Defense to advise the American president to wage war in the Middle East, Africa or Asia, we must question his health mental.

" Now the secretary of defense is disciplined "preparing all the options and scenarios, at the request of Obama, including the hypothesis and then no-fly zone. But more negative than this, could not be "military measures should be considered with extreme caution." Lends him a hand, Admiral Mike Mullen, Chief of Staff: he wants to deny a request that has ever come to military action by the rebel forces in Libya.

Mullen even denies that there is no evidence that Gaddafi has used airplanes and helicopters against the population. By the U.S. Air Force come other objections: "The anti-aircraft defenses in Libya are higher than those of Iraq under Saddam Hussein. The no-fly zone would require hundreds of fighter-bombers." For now, the U.S.

military movements are minimized. Two ships, the USS Kearsarge and USS Ponce with 600 marines on board, they were ordered to move from the Red Sea to the Mediterranean, but just to be able to provide humanitarian assistance. The two ships have only a few helicopter on board. The aircraft carrier USS Enterprise in the Red Sea remains however, to guard the area while the Iranian military ships returning from the Suez Canal.

In the Mediterranean Sixth Fleet is based in Naples. But its effective forces are less consistent with what we believe. Standing only of his flagship, the USS Mount Whitney. The rest of the device is "variable geometry". Why is the U.S. Navy is also "stressed out" after a decade of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan, more budget cuts due to economic difficulties.

The strategy expert Mark Helprin has sounded the alarm with a harsh editorial in the Wall Street Journal titled "The Decline of American naval power." Reduced from one thousand to 286 ships over the past 50 years, the U.S. military fleet is "the smallest in a century this part" For Halprin "America is retreating from the domination of the seas." One worrying scenario: Clinton yesterday accused the great enemy of the United States in the region, Iran, groped to influence the course of the Arab spring.

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