Saturday, February 12, 2011

Objective: the well-being in five years

"Get rich!" Deng Xiaoping had launched in 1992. The new five-year plan, the twelfth of its kind, 2011-2015, promises to any other thing: this will be the "well-being, social consolidation, rising living standards and consumption." Neither more nor less. The twelfth plan is the last big push, the last political legacy of the Hu Jintao-Wen Jiabao, before they leave the scene in 2012 to make way for young people.

Like five of their comrades of the Politburo Standing Committee, the nerve center of power, which has nine seats. He will return to their heirs to carry the job through until 2015. Only Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang, designated successor of President and Premier are sure to stay in the team - barring accidents.

Those who aspire to join them in 2012, Bo Xilai and Wang Yang, first party secretary of Chongqing municipality for one, and Guangdong Province to another, doing everything to get noticed. Their rivalry reflects the divide between reformists and neoconservatives within the CCP. Their style of governance between them, as their networks: son of the revolutionary Bo Yibo, Bo Xilai represents the faction of the "princes" Wang Yang comes from the Youth League, the body of belonging President Hu Jintao.

But both like to woo public opinion - gold, the Chinese certainly do not vote, but can make themselves heard. In Chongqing, Bo Xilai, 61, was first shown by the anti-Mafia campaign in 2009. Since then, the former Minister of Trade has been a champion of the "red culture" texting good words of the Great Helmsman sent to residents, organized meetings of revolutionary songs in the streets and schools, immersion courses in the country for students, television programs "red" (serials, documentary), nothing stops the first secretary.

His family thought he was the victim of the Cultural Revolution (his father was imprisoned, his mother beaten to death), he is the mascot of the neo-Maoists. "He is a communist to do!", Asserts Jinggang Fan, director of Utopia, their website of choice. Wang Yang, 55, has another vision for Guangdong, the cradle of economic reforms: there promoting "emancipation of minds" as he continues to repeat round of speeches - and the American essayist Thomas Friedman calls it in 2008 after reading his bestseller, The World is Flat.

The region needs to move upmarket and innovate in the economy of course - the dirty industries will pollute elsewhere - but also new in politics, where Shenzhen is a dream pilot area of political reform. This slope then the experience is quickly muted - Tibet, Xinjiang and then heating up, not more, or not yet, yet.

Meanwhile, Mr. Wang has also pinned to dozens of official corruption, replaced by veterans of the Youth League. Each region is emblematic of the successes and limitations of the Chinese model of development: Chongqing is one of the inland regions boosted by major projects. Liftoff is dazzling.

The powerful interest groups. But half the population is rural, isolated, under-educated. China's richest province, Guangdong, he is devastated by industrialization. Her migrant labor is exploited and bristled. Indigenous them, concerned about the future. The two rivals have therefore naturally set their sights on the new buzzword, the well-being.

In early January, Yang Wang invented the slogan "Happy Guangdong" the tyranny of excess growth, which should not exceed 8% over the next five years. An "index of well-being" is to assess the officials. Customers Cantonese welcomed the news with ... sarcasm. In Chongqing, Bo Xilai has an edge: the municipality in 2010 is leading the top ten cities in China, the happiest, according to a poll by the magazine Oriental Outlook.

The number one party has multiplied in recent months social measures, thereby launching the first property tax in China - to curb property speculation. Ten million rural people will be urbanized in ten years - willingly or forcibly. But now, the methods are Bo Xilai cringe. At best, say his detractors, he is diversionary in the ideological vacuum ambient.

Comparing models of Guangdong and Chongqing, the novelist Yang Hengjun, author of a widely read blog, wonders. New social policies in Chongqing are made possible, he notes, by the weight of eight major municipal groups, often in a monopoly situation. It is a kind of "great leap forward sector.

In terms of political thought is a setback, he warns. But where does the Guangdong, with its obsession with productivity? The moral and cultural component is missing. That's why Wang Yang called for a liberation of thought. However, it is currently very stress ... Wang Hengjun castigated the emperor and the opportunist who want to "enact the well-being." It can not be built in "fundamental principle", not more than before the "development".

He said it is time that democracy takes over: it "fully understands both the freedom, the rule of law, human rights, development and welfare" ... The next five year plan, who knows? Pedroletti @ bbc. Brice en Pedroletti Article published in the edition of 12.02.11

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