Thursday, February 24, 2011

How Gaddafi defend with fear

Unfortunately there was to be expected. The Italian government is rooting for Colonel Gaddafi. After avoiding for days to disrupt the Cape Bedouin and after saving clear words of condemnation of the massacre, the government now seems to have found justification for his cynicism. As expected pulls out an old tool: the strategy of fear.

In fact, in these days of government activism in foreign policy is summed up in one word: a llarmismo! There are two directions in which the Government is marching On the one hand shakes the Islamic threat and the other feeds a syndrome of invasion. Perhaps this strategy is to better manage public opinion decisively sided with the "squares of freedom" that emerge in the southern Mediterranean.

Perhaps it also serves to loosen the focus on the difficulties of internal politics. Or it's just cynical calculation for the Protection of economic interests in the friend Qadhafi is the guarantor. So let's keep the Colonel until there grants and avoid a leap in the dark of a democracy that we do not know what the reserve.

Note en passant that the prophecy of Frattini says that getting rid of the dictatorship of Gaddafi, the Libyan people would find itself under the specter of Islamic fundamentalism. Assuming that the squares who rebel do not know what freedom and democracy! In any case, Frattini, in reporting to the House on the Arab Spring, gave the numbers to justify his thesis and describe the alarmist scenarios of possible invasions Bible, performing somersaults disabled statistics! The Minister refers to 2 million foreigners in Libya, 30% of the total population estimates and concludes on the possible emergency that could involve 10 to 15 percent of them, according to the alarm raised by the Minister, 200/300 thousand refugees may cross our borders in the coming weeks.

Of course, estimates are up scenarios and then the conditional is a must. As if to say, are the Sirens (Estimates on hypothetical risk of a possible new emergency). In addition, Frattini is angry with the EU, guilty for not having yet said anything "official" on the Italian proposal to channel "potential" flows of refugees in European countries.

Now, examining in detail the semantics of numbers which is given by the Minister, there would have to do some questions. If we compare the data, we note that Libya has half the immigrants from Italy, which has 4 million. The impact of immigrants in the total population is 30% while in the Libyan case is 7% in the case of Italy.

So the question arises: how a small country of 6 million inhabitants such as Libya was able to manage such a high percentage of foreign presence without paying the price for the invasion? Because a large country of 60 million inhabitants such as Italy should go haywire before the occurrence of an emergency that would involve 200/300 thousand refugees? Then, according to data always, the objection to the argument is simple-emergency, enough about the history of immigration in our country.

In fact, one should not forget that for more than 20 years the growth of the foreign presence in Italy stood structurally on an average of 300 thousand units per year. Of course, the difference is made by the pace of arrivals, but Italy is Slovenia. Whilst it may be that the masses of refugees arrive, the country will not suffer repercussions from these scenarios envisage an invasion ...

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