Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Markets celebrate Keiko Fujimori's rise in polls

Keiko Fujimori, daughter of former President Alberto Fujimori was sentenced to 25 years in prison for crimes against humanity, has traced the downside I had about the nationalist Ollanta Humala in view of the final round of Peruvian presidential elections on 5 June. According to the polls in recent days, the election will be very close.

The company Ipsos Apoyo, one of the most influential, has provided for the first time this season the candidate's leadership Force 2011 with 41% of the voting intentions compared with 39% for Humala. Two other polls, the Pontificia Universidad Catolica del Peru and Datum, keep Humala in first place but with a very narrow margin.

Humala left after the first lap with a lead of just over seven points and his popularity has stagnated, while that of Fujimori has grown, especially in the north and the Amazon. The news has been held by the markets, which have recovered much of the ground they had lost since the results of the first round head placed in exmilitar coup.

As soon as he began to speculate in the rise of the candidate, the Lima Stock Exchange experienced dramatic increases over 6% and 5%. Moreover, a survey commissioned by Morgan Stanley and released in New York was a tie between candidates contributed to the stock market euphoria. Strong rises were counter to the results in other markets in the region, confirmed to analysts that the Peruvian stock market moves according to the survey results and not the role of business.

"Without doubt, the capital feel more comfortable with the idea of Keiko president," says economist Eduardo Morón. Is, however, plenty of material to be cut. Support Ipsos survey said that 8% of voters still undecided vote. A tense atmosphere with just over three weeks to the elections, the climate becomes increasingly tense and tense.

Last week, Kenji Fujimori, Keiko's younger brother, who has just been elected to Congress with the highest vote in Lima, was attacked in the city of Juliaca by a mob related Humala's party he threw eggs and had to cancel their activities . Another group of protesters, including some militants were identified as the Nationalist Party, attacked the reporter Jaime de Althaus he left the television station where he works.

On Tuesday, the delegation of Keiko Fujimori was the victim of another attack with eggs while traveling through the town of Satipo, the country's central jungle. Earn spokespersons Peru, Humala, have denied responsibility and condemned the attacks. One of them, Daniel Abugattas, has suggested that everything is a montage of Fujimori.

Judging by the polls, Humala's attempts to moderate its radical image of Lima to convince voters and middle class have not been successful. In recent weeks, has insisted that rule by consensus and signed the national agreement, a document-style Spanish La Moncloa Pacts created during the presidency of Toledo, which ensures that whoever wins will meet specific public policies.

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