While media in Europe celebrate the protests in Egypt, Israel is pursuing the official development with concern. In Jerusalem it is clear to the dictator Mubarak, a key ally in the Arab world - for fear of the alternatives. Israel is usually a country where politicians have an opinion on any topic, and they reveal too much.
But for several days, Israel's leadership team wrapped in an unusual question in silence. No one is willing to make comments on the unrest in Egypt, an official comment. Not because the riots in the southern neighboring country here, no one interested, quite the contrary, the news programs who give usually a day of six clock in the morning until just after midnight an intensive navel-gazing report continuously on the events in the Arab world, from Tunisia to Fascinated with Lebanon, even enthusiastic comments radio, television and newspapers have the courage of the demonstrators in the streets of Cairo and give the impression as if they rejoiced not only at the historic spectacle, but as it was them actually located on democracy in the country on the Nile.
But the official Israel creates a muzzle, "We are closely monitoring the events, but we do not mix in the internal affairs of a neighboring state," the short answer is the Foreign Ministry to requests. Since it is a happy coincidence that Benjamin Ben Eliezer, last week resigned from his ministerial post and now can say freely as opponents of the Labour Party's opinion: "I have a revolution in Egypt impossible to reconcile the situation is there, calm down," said Ben Eliezer .
The former defense minister in Iraq GEBN is a renowned expert on Israeli-Arab relations, and as a friend of the Egyptian intelligence chief Omar Suleiman. Ben Eliezer's statement is consistent with the assessment of Israeli intelligence and Middle East experts who focus on the strength of Egypt's army.
Eliezer said Israel at the same position on the protests: "We can not do anything anyway, except to assure our support Mubarak and hope that the events pass in peace with us," was finally "Egypt, Israel's main ally in the region." For Israel is more than a cold peace in the match Egypt was the first Arab state to peace with Israel in 1979 concluded, but is the ratio of the neighboring countries tricky.
Good relations are limited to government cadres. Close links between the civil societies are suppressed by the regime in Cairo. The professional associations of doctors, engineers or lawyers, for example, require their members to entry into the Association to not to normalize relations with Israel to contribute.
Even 30 years after the peace agreement, the trade amounted to a value of only 150 million U.S. dollars. A bizarre example of what one thinks of Israel in Egypt, delivered a few weeks ago, the Vice Governor of the Sinai Peninsula. The alleged attack by a shark on the coast, could not be ruled out that the murderous fish had been suspended by the Israeli secret service to harm the Egyptian tourism industry.
After the bloody attack on a church in Alexandria to New Year speculated spokesman for the Muslim Brotherhood, Israel is responsible for the attack because it would sow discord between Christians and Muslims. It is this Muslim Brotherhood, which Israel can keep Mubarak. It is considered the most popular political movement in the country of the pyramids.
And it leaves no doubt as it is the peace treaty with Israel: they will terminate it immediately. "Democracy is something beautiful. However, it is for Israel, the United States and Europe of great interest that Mubarak remains in power," said Eli Schaked therefore, in the years 2003-2005 Israel's ambassador in Cairo.
Israel for more than a cold peace and little trade is at stake: "Never before have discovered the strategic interests of Israel so that the Sunni states like today," says Schaked. No later than the publication of the WikiLeaks documents showed what he means: The Arab world, and especially Mubarak will look just like Israel in Iran and its allies such as Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, an existential threat.
Fear of alliance between Islamists in Cairo and Hamas in Gaza "should occur in Egypt a regime change, the Muslim Brotherhood would then take the helm, and that would have incalculable consequences for the region," says Schaked. With care you take in Jerusalem noted that Egypt's army after 30 years of peace upgraded mainly for war against Israel and trained.
A cancellation of the peace treaty would open a new front for Israel with the eleventh largest army in the world, which is equipped with modern American weapons. But even more unlikely than a passage of arms to Egypt, Israel fears an alliance between Islamists in Cairo and Hamas in Gaza, which sees itself as a subsidiary organization of the Muslim Brotherhood.
Today fought the Egyptian army, often less than good, the weapons smuggling in the Sinai, the main supply route to Hamas. A regime that opens the borders to Gaza for weapons deliveries would be for Israel to a life-threatening danger. Schaked holds the demands from the West of openness and more democracy in Egypt fatal a mistake..
"It is an illusion to believe that the dictator Mubarak could be replaced by a democracy, Egypt is still not capable of democracy alone, the rate of illiteracy is over 20 percent, "says Schaked. The Muslim Brothers were the only real alternative, with devastating consequences for the West: "..
They will not change their anti-Western attitude when they come to power that is never done - neither in the Sudan, Iran or Afghanistan" So ultimately the choice remains between a pro-Western or anti-dictatorship: "It is our interest that someone from the immediate vicinity Mubarak takes up his legacy at all costs." It could not rule out short-term massive bloodshed, "It's not the first time that riots in Egypt were brutally crushed," says Schaked.
But for several days, Israel's leadership team wrapped in an unusual question in silence. No one is willing to make comments on the unrest in Egypt, an official comment. Not because the riots in the southern neighboring country here, no one interested, quite the contrary, the news programs who give usually a day of six clock in the morning until just after midnight an intensive navel-gazing report continuously on the events in the Arab world, from Tunisia to Fascinated with Lebanon, even enthusiastic comments radio, television and newspapers have the courage of the demonstrators in the streets of Cairo and give the impression as if they rejoiced not only at the historic spectacle, but as it was them actually located on democracy in the country on the Nile.
But the official Israel creates a muzzle, "We are closely monitoring the events, but we do not mix in the internal affairs of a neighboring state," the short answer is the Foreign Ministry to requests. Since it is a happy coincidence that Benjamin Ben Eliezer, last week resigned from his ministerial post and now can say freely as opponents of the Labour Party's opinion: "I have a revolution in Egypt impossible to reconcile the situation is there, calm down," said Ben Eliezer .
The former defense minister in Iraq GEBN is a renowned expert on Israeli-Arab relations, and as a friend of the Egyptian intelligence chief Omar Suleiman. Ben Eliezer's statement is consistent with the assessment of Israeli intelligence and Middle East experts who focus on the strength of Egypt's army.
Eliezer said Israel at the same position on the protests: "We can not do anything anyway, except to assure our support Mubarak and hope that the events pass in peace with us," was finally "Egypt, Israel's main ally in the region." For Israel is more than a cold peace in the match Egypt was the first Arab state to peace with Israel in 1979 concluded, but is the ratio of the neighboring countries tricky.
Good relations are limited to government cadres. Close links between the civil societies are suppressed by the regime in Cairo. The professional associations of doctors, engineers or lawyers, for example, require their members to entry into the Association to not to normalize relations with Israel to contribute.
Even 30 years after the peace agreement, the trade amounted to a value of only 150 million U.S. dollars. A bizarre example of what one thinks of Israel in Egypt, delivered a few weeks ago, the Vice Governor of the Sinai Peninsula. The alleged attack by a shark on the coast, could not be ruled out that the murderous fish had been suspended by the Israeli secret service to harm the Egyptian tourism industry.
After the bloody attack on a church in Alexandria to New Year speculated spokesman for the Muslim Brotherhood, Israel is responsible for the attack because it would sow discord between Christians and Muslims. It is this Muslim Brotherhood, which Israel can keep Mubarak. It is considered the most popular political movement in the country of the pyramids.
And it leaves no doubt as it is the peace treaty with Israel: they will terminate it immediately. "Democracy is something beautiful. However, it is for Israel, the United States and Europe of great interest that Mubarak remains in power," said Eli Schaked therefore, in the years 2003-2005 Israel's ambassador in Cairo.
Israel for more than a cold peace and little trade is at stake: "Never before have discovered the strategic interests of Israel so that the Sunni states like today," says Schaked. No later than the publication of the WikiLeaks documents showed what he means: The Arab world, and especially Mubarak will look just like Israel in Iran and its allies such as Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, an existential threat.
Fear of alliance between Islamists in Cairo and Hamas in Gaza "should occur in Egypt a regime change, the Muslim Brotherhood would then take the helm, and that would have incalculable consequences for the region," says Schaked. With care you take in Jerusalem noted that Egypt's army after 30 years of peace upgraded mainly for war against Israel and trained.
A cancellation of the peace treaty would open a new front for Israel with the eleventh largest army in the world, which is equipped with modern American weapons. But even more unlikely than a passage of arms to Egypt, Israel fears an alliance between Islamists in Cairo and Hamas in Gaza, which sees itself as a subsidiary organization of the Muslim Brotherhood.
Today fought the Egyptian army, often less than good, the weapons smuggling in the Sinai, the main supply route to Hamas. A regime that opens the borders to Gaza for weapons deliveries would be for Israel to a life-threatening danger. Schaked holds the demands from the West of openness and more democracy in Egypt fatal a mistake..
"It is an illusion to believe that the dictator Mubarak could be replaced by a democracy, Egypt is still not capable of democracy alone, the rate of illiteracy is over 20 percent, "says Schaked. The Muslim Brothers were the only real alternative, with devastating consequences for the West: "..
They will not change their anti-Western attitude when they come to power that is never done - neither in the Sudan, Iran or Afghanistan" So ultimately the choice remains between a pro-Western or anti-dictatorship: "It is our interest that someone from the immediate vicinity Mubarak takes up his legacy at all costs." It could not rule out short-term massive bloodshed, "It's not the first time that riots in Egypt were brutally crushed," says Schaked.
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