Thursday, April 28, 2011

Palestine, Fatah and Hamas agree to a

The news was reported and Egyptian intelligence has surprised even some of the most acute observers of affairs in the Middle East who also followed the talks closely, very private, taking place between Fatah and Hamas. Objective, unlock the political stalemate and the rivalries that have crippled the already fragile Palestinian institutional structures.

The objective seems to have been reached late yesterday evening, when the international news agencies, argued that a statement Egyptian Intelligence said: "The consultations have been concluded with a full understanding on all issues under discussion, including the formation of a interim government with some specific tasks and the date for elections.

" From Gaza, shortly after, Taher al-Nono, a Hamas spokesman confirmed to Reuters: "The two parties signed an initial agreement. All points of divergence have been smoothed out. " Confirmation is very bare bones for what it is in effect an essential and historic step for the Palestinians.

Hamas and Fatah were divided - and often against each other armed with dozens of deaths - from the 2006 elections won by Hamas and then actually canceled because of pressure from the international community. They were even more so since 2007, when Hamas, a coup took control of the Gaza Strip, breaking the administrative unit of the Palestinian territories, leaving the Palestinian National Authority government in the West Bank.

The composition of the fracture, therefore, deserves a signing ceremony to be held in Cairo in the coming days, will also be announced as soon as the precise terms of the agreement, in particular what are the tasks of the new interim government and when you will be able to hold Palestinian elections .

The President of the PNA Mahmoud Abbas, last February, had indicated their intention to call the Palestinians to vote by September. That date could be confirmed in the agreement, even if Hamas had rejected in February, or slip. Maybe a year. What has changed in the meantime? Or rather, why now? The contacts, more or less secret, between the two parties have been going on for some time, with Egyptian mediation, which was headed by Omar Suleiman, the former intelligence chief for a few days, two months ago, seemed about to happen President Hosni Mubarak driven by events in Tahrir Square.

Suleiman has mediated several temporary agreements between the two main Palestinian parties, as well as the truce between Hamas and Israel. This agreement is therefore also the result of his efforts. A ripe fruit? It would seem so, but at least in part for reasons outside the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

In September, at the General Assembly of the United Nations, the NPC may submit a request to the UN Security Council for the approval of the State of Palestine as a new member of the United Nations. According to Abbas, it would at least 130paesi ready to recognize the new state. Such an act, wrote the Israeli daily Haaretz on April 20, would serve to put pressure on the government BenyaminNetanyahu, which seems to have no intention to restart the peace process, at least not the peace process on which it says d ' Agreement on the Quartet (U.S., EU, UN, Russia).

There's more. The political upheavals of the spring Arab on the Israeli government are doing to lose some landmarks, most notably Egypt and over the months and rising protests in the neighboring Syria, the nervousness has grown well in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. Yet, Netanyahu did not break away from her character.

The first comment, hot, news of the agreement between Fatah and Hamas was unequivocal: "The PA must decide whether to make peace with Israel or Hamas. Both things can not. " Israeli Prime Minister does not seem to see that the greatest risk, as in the West Bank to Gaza, is that the current Palestinian leadership can be overwhelmed by the protests.

A test, very moderate, has been in the events of 15 March when thousands of people, overwhelmingly young people protested in Ramallah and other West Bank cities, as well as in Gaza for a "day of unity." Events partly spontaneous and partly supported by the two different "governments" Palestinians, but still a signal on what the mood of the square and, of course, young people.

Those who have always been at the forefront of the demonstrations and riots against the Israeli military occupation, suggest that if a new intifada (if rumors on the internet in various forms, including a mysterious video message that indicates a date May 15) might for once, not only directed against the Israeli soldiers but also against the Palestinian elite, who without a state itself, has been given by many of the flaws of the Arab regimes, from corruption to human rights violations.

If this awareness may have prompted the leaders of Fatah to try to close as quickly as possible an agreement with Hamas (potentially fostered by any demonstrations against the "government" Palestinian Authority), the decisions of the Islamic resistance movement may have also affected the 'Assassination of VittorioArrigoni, with the rise, now evident, the Salafi challenge the control of the territory in the Gaza Strip.

In recent weeks, with the world focused on the events of Libya, in Gaza there was a mini escalation reminiscent - albeit small - that deadly game upward between Palestinian rockets and Israeli incursions that led to Cast Lead, the 'attack on the Strip at the end of 2008. An event that, if repeated today, with the entire region in turmoil and no government safe, be likely to fall on the Arab spring a deadly cold war.

Enzo Mangini / Letter 22

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