The revolt against Gaddafi forward day after day, in Arabic this spring seems unstoppable, but from his fortress of Tripoli, surrounded by his sons, Colonel is determined to challenge the siege of the rebels. Regime opponents and analysts say that although their margin for maneuver is narrowing day by day, we still have some political and military options.
One of the possible targets for the rats to freeze the situation on the ground, becoming strong in Tripoli, with a strategy that bet to keep this strategic pivot, while the rebels have conquered the East and West. Meanwhile, the international community is putting pressure on Tripoli to prevent Gaddafi regain strength and confidence to prop up their resistance until the end.
During the past 48 hours, the colonel has shown signs of vitality, even in this difficult situation. From his bunker in Al Bazizia, where he established his headquarters, maneuver, command and seeks to deny to the whole world is lost. Its aim is to castle, ensuring a balance of forces on the ground that lets you select two options: fight or negotiate.
An active defense response to a military logic. Shashank Joshi, a researcher at the Royal United Services Institute in London, says the BBC: "This is not Hitler's bunker or anything like that." After a week on the defensive, the colonel has launched a series of counterattacks. Some of the troops under the command of his son Khamis, have been sent to try to recover the western cities that have fallen into the hands of demonstrators.
Today the pro-Gaddafi attempted an assault on rebels in the northwest, which has been repelled. In recent days, its fighters and helicopters have attacked ammunition depots that had fallen into the hands of opponents. This is why it is vital for the contest the imposition of a no-fly zone.
Raids from the air, though limited, may endanger the movement of insurgents. Indeed, the rebels of Benghazi demonstrators try to help in Tripoli, but the capital is far (about 900 miles) and so far only been possible to send a few hundred troops. Opposition sources quoted by Al Arabiya say Gadhafi has reorganized his men in charge of operations.
The special teams have been assigned to Mansur Al Casi, who has taken the place of Abdullah Al Senusi accused of not having defended Benghazi. The dictator's son, Khamis, coordinates the defense around Tripoli, while the substantial base of Sirte remains in the hands of loyalists. The regime may have about 10 000 faithful.
There remains uncertainty about the positions of some generals, who remain in the barracks waiting for the developments. Negotiation and media maneuver Another aspect of the regime's strategy is the proposal to negotiate with the opposition, albeit a desperate attempt demonstrates the will of the dictator to regain the political initiative and open another option for their lives.
The regime has instructed the chief of foreign intelligence, Bouzid Durda, negotiating with the rebels in Benghazi. A dialogue that the opposition is not willing to accept. According to Al Arabiya, Gaddafi has also tried to open channels of contact with the heads of the tribes, but they have refused to negotiate with him.
Military counterattack and negotiation are two sides of a desperate strategy to try to regain control over Libya. Then there's the media maneuver, which also helps the son Saif al Islam. This is repeated until exhaustion to reporters that the country is "calm" and that everyone is lying to the international media or propaganda of Al Qaeda.
Moreover, the regime has organized a tour for foreign reporters on the streets of the capital to convince him that the situation is calm. All tied up and securely fastened. But when the lights go down, send mercenaries to suppress the protests, using heavy weapons against civilians and urged their followers to take up arms.
Abdel-Monem to Houni, a former ambassador to Libya in the Arab League, said told the Financial Times that the regime is conducting a long-term plan to defend Tripoli. The diplomat argued that the rats can survive while maintaining the capital. "Gaddafi knows that all you have to do is control of Tripoli and therefore is concentrating its forces in that goal," Houni said, adding that the strategy is not necessarily Gaddafi to conquer cities, but to scare the protesters to accept a compromise that would keep him in power.
It is estimated that the regime's military strength is concentrated in three areas around the capital, with a force of up to 10,000 people, including 3,000 mercenaries and the revolutionary militias. In theory, Colonel Gaddafi still has much of Libya's military equipment, including aircraft near his hometown of Sirte.
Large number of additional tanks and artillery are prepared in Sebha, in the southern city which houses the base of the tribe of Colonel Gaddafi. However, the ability to maneuver and to use military power to their advantage is now limited to Gaddafi. An attempt to move anti-aircraft missiles Sirte to Tripoli last week, was blocked by anti-government forces, according to opposition activists.
In any case, it is unclear whether the colonel will resort to aerial bombing populated areas, given the strong international pressure. "He can still commit massacres if they wanted," said Ashur Shamis, a Libyan dissident, quoted by the Financial Times. "But it's between a rock and a hard place, not excessive use of force by the international community pressure, and without that military power can not win anything," says Shamis.
Furthermore, the system begins to doubt the loyalty of aviation pilots, after some deserted and others refused to obey orders to bomb. Gaddafi seems to have lost the initiative and is entrenched in Tripoli to buy time and find a desperate bargain. Some of their children begin to see the situation differently, especially now facing charges of the International Criminal Court.
They have shown more open to negotiation, while the patriarch is willing to die fighting. A family castle threatens bloodshed across the country. 
One of the possible targets for the rats to freeze the situation on the ground, becoming strong in Tripoli, with a strategy that bet to keep this strategic pivot, while the rebels have conquered the East and West. Meanwhile, the international community is putting pressure on Tripoli to prevent Gaddafi regain strength and confidence to prop up their resistance until the end.
During the past 48 hours, the colonel has shown signs of vitality, even in this difficult situation. From his bunker in Al Bazizia, where he established his headquarters, maneuver, command and seeks to deny to the whole world is lost. Its aim is to castle, ensuring a balance of forces on the ground that lets you select two options: fight or negotiate.
An active defense response to a military logic. Shashank Joshi, a researcher at the Royal United Services Institute in London, says the BBC: "This is not Hitler's bunker or anything like that." After a week on the defensive, the colonel has launched a series of counterattacks. Some of the troops under the command of his son Khamis, have been sent to try to recover the western cities that have fallen into the hands of demonstrators.
Today the pro-Gaddafi attempted an assault on rebels in the northwest, which has been repelled. In recent days, its fighters and helicopters have attacked ammunition depots that had fallen into the hands of opponents. This is why it is vital for the contest the imposition of a no-fly zone.
Raids from the air, though limited, may endanger the movement of insurgents. Indeed, the rebels of Benghazi demonstrators try to help in Tripoli, but the capital is far (about 900 miles) and so far only been possible to send a few hundred troops. Opposition sources quoted by Al Arabiya say Gadhafi has reorganized his men in charge of operations.
The special teams have been assigned to Mansur Al Casi, who has taken the place of Abdullah Al Senusi accused of not having defended Benghazi. The dictator's son, Khamis, coordinates the defense around Tripoli, while the substantial base of Sirte remains in the hands of loyalists. The regime may have about 10 000 faithful.
There remains uncertainty about the positions of some generals, who remain in the barracks waiting for the developments. Negotiation and media maneuver Another aspect of the regime's strategy is the proposal to negotiate with the opposition, albeit a desperate attempt demonstrates the will of the dictator to regain the political initiative and open another option for their lives.
The regime has instructed the chief of foreign intelligence, Bouzid Durda, negotiating with the rebels in Benghazi. A dialogue that the opposition is not willing to accept. According to Al Arabiya, Gaddafi has also tried to open channels of contact with the heads of the tribes, but they have refused to negotiate with him.
Military counterattack and negotiation are two sides of a desperate strategy to try to regain control over Libya. Then there's the media maneuver, which also helps the son Saif al Islam. This is repeated until exhaustion to reporters that the country is "calm" and that everyone is lying to the international media or propaganda of Al Qaeda.
Moreover, the regime has organized a tour for foreign reporters on the streets of the capital to convince him that the situation is calm. All tied up and securely fastened. But when the lights go down, send mercenaries to suppress the protests, using heavy weapons against civilians and urged their followers to take up arms.
Abdel-Monem to Houni, a former ambassador to Libya in the Arab League, said told the Financial Times that the regime is conducting a long-term plan to defend Tripoli. The diplomat argued that the rats can survive while maintaining the capital. "Gaddafi knows that all you have to do is control of Tripoli and therefore is concentrating its forces in that goal," Houni said, adding that the strategy is not necessarily Gaddafi to conquer cities, but to scare the protesters to accept a compromise that would keep him in power.
It is estimated that the regime's military strength is concentrated in three areas around the capital, with a force of up to 10,000 people, including 3,000 mercenaries and the revolutionary militias. In theory, Colonel Gaddafi still has much of Libya's military equipment, including aircraft near his hometown of Sirte.
Large number of additional tanks and artillery are prepared in Sebha, in the southern city which houses the base of the tribe of Colonel Gaddafi. However, the ability to maneuver and to use military power to their advantage is now limited to Gaddafi. An attempt to move anti-aircraft missiles Sirte to Tripoli last week, was blocked by anti-government forces, according to opposition activists.
In any case, it is unclear whether the colonel will resort to aerial bombing populated areas, given the strong international pressure. "He can still commit massacres if they wanted," said Ashur Shamis, a Libyan dissident, quoted by the Financial Times. "But it's between a rock and a hard place, not excessive use of force by the international community pressure, and without that military power can not win anything," says Shamis.
Furthermore, the system begins to doubt the loyalty of aviation pilots, after some deserted and others refused to obey orders to bomb. Gaddafi seems to have lost the initiative and is entrenched in Tripoli to buy time and find a desperate bargain. Some of their children begin to see the situation differently, especially now facing charges of the International Criminal Court.
They have shown more open to negotiation, while the patriarch is willing to die fighting. A family castle threatens bloodshed across the country.
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