Sunday, January 30, 2011

Egypt avalanche effect of the Maghreb

The sands of popular anger Egyptian Sphinxes are flooding the scheme. The individual grains that form the Egyptian people no longer hold the weight of Mubarak and his power. It's unbearable now monuments of the property and the government seem to slip more and more likely to be swallowed by the sands of history.

What diplomacy and international politics has never been able (and has not really ever want to) do, is going through the drives from the bottom, from individuals whose anger has condensed on the move under the pressure of necessity: the growth prices and, consequently, of hunger, leading to the individual revolt (the many unemployed young people, or almost, that you are on fire from Algeria to Yemen, through Egypt as a witness to the fact the writer has al-Aswani) and then to the general rule.

A landslide of a whole society that seemed motionless, holding close to ten-year post-colonial regimes, repression of Islamic extremists warning to all, and only by fear of a violent response by security forces. The avalanche effect of the Maghreb has accelerated exponentially with every passing day and has now taken on a dimension, a critical mass, which seems irreversible.

Contamination of Egypt, the pivot of the entire Middle East stability, the main piece of international alliances and joint of each trattavia on the Israeli-Palestinian crisis has led to a point of no return. The first Americans to understand - leading suppliers of civilian aid, and even more, military Cairo (partners in the second only to Israel) - which must run for cover, and the change of horse, trying to accompany the scheme Mubarak (father and son) at the end without letting it slip into the revenge of the open repression.

For this the army of the former British colony (and will in the coming days), the main protagonist and the caller: Washington must obtain the consent of the generals (former fellow officer Mubarak, who took power three decades ago) still over and before the leaders - around - the opposition to a shift of power is not (too) traumatic.

Then comes the turn of the involvement of moderate Islamists, like the Muslim Brotherhood, which continues to have a great influence on Muslim thought in the Middle East. If you change Egypt, the entire wall of the Arab regimes is likely to crumble, a little under the blows of the truths of other Wikileaks, but far below the needs and the truth of the individual peoples whose awakening is occurring not because of the proselytizing 'Islamic extremism, but the hunger for justice, and more.

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