Monday, March 21, 2011

Upload Why Marine Le Pen in France?

The first round of cantonal elections held yesterday in France illustrates this: the far-right National Front of Marine Le Pen, who garnered 15%, progresses to a uniformly accelerated motion. A resounding poll published March 5 by Le Parisien, I warned, shaking up and down the French political landscape.

More than one then rubbed his eyes in disbelief as she, as smiling and jubilant, jumping from TV to TV mode explaining the escalation: "I have not come here to bear." Marine Le Pen, a lawyer, intelligent, populist friend step on the field and traipsing the streets, he added: "I am the only one currently capable of defeating Dominique Strauss-Kahn [Socialist leader, current president of the International Monetary Fund and the politician considered most popular French].

Six months ago, that phrase sounded like a joke. Not now. Yesterday, the president of the National Front, after the results of the elections, he insisted: "This confirms that the National Front is no longer a game protest but a party membership. "All the experts agree: Marine Le Pen is already playing in first division.

Within 14 months, three candidates will be able to win the presidential election and become all-powerful president of the French Republic Nicolas Sarkozy (sunk in the polls for months), the Socialist leader to leave in the fall of contested primaries, bitter and dangerous from the electoral point of view, and Marine Le Pen, who caracoles polling in polling and election by election.

In 2007, the National Front seemed dead, touched 3% of the vote and some finally gave it to become extinct. Sarkozy had managed to not only disable but phagocytosed. What has happened since then? "First, the bad performance of the economy and the bad humor and pessimism French. Here the crisis is more exasperation and protest in Spain, for example," said Pascal Perrineau, director of the Center for Policy Research of Sciences, Po and expert on extreme right.

France slashing a 9.5% unemployment and begins to grow and leave, but stumbled, the hole in the crisis. But the constant and continuous opposition to pension reform last autumn attest to the existing state of tension. For this specialist also in the rise of Marine Le Pen, who last year did not exceed 12% of popularity, there is also the discrediting of politics and politicians in the eyes of the French.

They note that, despite promises of a spotless Republic Sarkozy, latent dark episodes of conflict of interest in that mix of power and a lot of money (if Woerth-Bettencourt) or episodes of paid vacation for tyrants Arab Friends Arab tyrants or the former foreign minister, Michèle Alliot-Marie, in Tunisia, or prime minister, François Fillon, Egypt.

And no one like the National Front and Marine Le Pen to win all that firing disappointed privileges sick of politicians. The researchers added that the profile of the daughter of the founder of the National Front (younger, women, art) has helped to soften the message apparently xenophobic, racist father and abrupt.

"Basically, the ideas are based on the same: immigration and French identity, but the way is not the same, and that counts," says political scientist expert on right-wing movements Jean-Yves Camus. Shrewd, media, awesome in the debates, demagogue, with a successful way to put your finger in the eye and expose real problems and propose unrealistic solutions (out of the euro, for example), with the value (or audacity) to appropriate values considered so far as those of major parties right-wing Republicans and left (the secular, state intervention in the economy), Le Pen played as well as specialists, with the advantage and the momentum of development.

"Managing this fear a globalized world and open. And about those who see the Arab revolution a threat to immigration," says Perrineau. She knows: March 14 Lampedusa travel to an interest in the recent wave of refugees from Tunisia. No one dares to predict what will happen within 14 months.

Camus warns of dangerous porosity between the voters of the Union for a Popular Movement and the Popular Front Sarkozy, shown in the result of yesterday's election. 43% of voters are pro-Sarkozy alliance with the far right. The debates about French identity and relief resources to the safety of current head of state is no longer enough to keep voters in flight to the most right corner.

Some socialist leaders, meanwhile, wonder if a dog face primaries are a good solution. Meanwhile, Le Pen's sentences begin to be perceived as more than bluster.

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