Sunday, February 6, 2011

In Egypt, the transition began, by Robert Solé

The days of "all hazards" both followed in Egypt, not to look like. Friday would be that the "departure" (Hosni Mubarak). It did not happen, but opponents still hold his head in the plan, after having bandaged their wounds: they have gathered impressive crowds and still have not evacuated the Tahrir Square, Cairo.

The army - the institution praised on all sides and dreaded - is unable to impose the cease-fire. Egypt is unrecognizable. We are seeing things that no one would have imagined a fortnight ago. Not since the 1952 revolution, citizens had dared to publicly insult a president in office and demand his departure.

The crime of lese-majeste has certainly shocked many ordinary citizens, accustomed to the cult of personality. They do not believe their eyes or their ears. How foreigners are treated, including journalists, is another surprise. While the Egyptians hate their country to be criticized from the outside, but they have nothing xenophobic.

Any part of their economy faces accommodating a growing number of tourists, who were 15 million last year. It will take time to forget the hateful scenes that could be very costly to the national economy. As for opponents, two things are striking. First, diversity. Then, their discipline, despite the lack of leadership.

One wonders how these disparate crowds, which combines the freedom and drunken young Islamists who want to apply Sharia law, were able to agree. The authority is doing everything he can to split them, unsuccessfully so far. The U.S., like the European Union, calling for a quick transition immediately.

In fact, despite appearances, this transition has begun. The Vice-President, Omar Suleiman, has taken control. It is more than finding an outlet to Hosni Mubarak about Hon. Egypt does not usually send their presidents. Nasser died of exhaustion in 1970 after eighteen years' reign, and Sadat was assassinated eleven years later.

Mubarak, however, has taken root after a record three decades. The speed with which the country was engulfed illustrates the acceleration of time, the Internet age. In 1952, six months had separated the burning of Cairo by rogue elements and the overthrow of the monarchy by officers. This time we had the impression that everything was going to play in a few days.

But a regime so firmly established do not fall apart so quickly. And a democracy can not be invented overnight. While calling for elections, the Islamist opposition not know that it needs several months to prepare. Robert Solé

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