Monday, February 14, 2011

Experts see America on the ropes

Experts say that after the departure of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, the Government of the United States walks a tightrope in the Middle East, where he is forced to support the calls for democracy without leaving their prized allies in the troubled region. "Tunisia was a shock wave and a tsunami Cairo, and all the autocrats in the Arab world and Iran should worry about their future," said Bruce Riedel, a former senior official of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA, in English) which advised three U.S.

presidents on Middle East and Central Asia. "The problem for America is that we have very little influence on the issue," he added, now at the Brookings Institution, a Washington research center. For Riedel, the revolt in Egypt is "the first major foreign policy crisis" for the government of President Barack Obama, who "is forced to walk a tightrope, uphill, and it will become increasingly difficult." Nathan Brown, the organization Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said that in Egypt the power is in the hands of generals who long supported Mubarak.

"It means an enormous victory for the opposition, although it is not something that has been obtained, but Mubarak's departure." Brown believes that Washington should send a message to the Egyptian military in order to claim to explain how they intend to integrate the representatives of different sectors for the transition Egyptians.

"That must come from the White House, in clear and unambiguous." Meanwhile, Hillary Mann Leverett, who joined the National Security Council under President George W. Bush said on MSNBC that the U.S. should support a wide range of opponents in Egypt, although of course, refrain from helping the Muslim Brotherhood.

The Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Abul Gheit promised Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, a "road map" that will define the country's plans and needs in this new phase of transition. The challenge of building a democratic society and meet the expectations of those who have supported, they can be motivated by economic hardship or for the sake of political freedom.

Amr al Shalakany, professor of law at Cairo University, says that as the Army gain visibility, its vast political and economic power will start to come to light. "This country is run by the military since 1952, but until now had remained in the background." Groups of human rights advocates expect the military to release the arrested demonstrators protesting against the regime, some of whom were tortured.

This country is a staunch ally of former President Hosni Mubarak. The link Riyadh-Cairo has been narrow. On 11 January, King Abdullah bin Abdelaziz thousand Mubarak offered $ 500 million in assistance in the event that Washington end its support he pays every year since the Camp David accords in 1978.

Its strategic position of Egypt marked the relevant both in the Middle East and in the international arena. Along with tourism is the other major source of revenue for the country given the influx of merchant ships from around the world. Egypt is the only Arab country with Jordan that has relations with Israel.

The Jewish state, only democracy in the Middle East has been viewed with suspicion from the beginning a regime change in Egypt, fearing that the area is fractured and establishing an Islamist regime. Israel has in his mind what happened in Iran in 1979 during the Islamic revolution, although born in the souks with popular support, was then capitalized by ultraconservative clerics.

Social networks and the Internet have played an important role in mobilizing despite tight control by the regime. In fact the manifestation of the January 25, known as "Day of Wrath" was convened by social networks. The regime blocked sites like Twitter, Facebook and Google, which the protesters used to organize and take photos of mass concentrations.

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