Saturday, February 5, 2011

Egypt, in the square shouting "From here we go"

CAIRO - It is an obsession. He is gone. Leaves. Will go away. The guy with the phone glued to ear, let out a yell of satisfaction. You made it! If it goes! Accompanies the words with a gesture, I wrap the shoulders with his bare arm and sweaty to express joy. I am a guide, says that to protect me, and wants to share her happiness.

I am grateful. The crowd flows on the bridge of Kasr el-Nil direct to Tahrir Square. You people ordered at the most cheerful in anger. Nobody takes seriously the proclamation of the boy. Mubarak is gone. Everybody knows that. The boy is not a delusion, it is a hope, driven by enthusiasm.

For him, in his imagination, after Mubarak will open wide the doors to a bright and freedom unknown. Exciting. Therefore easy to see it already in flight. So the dream is destined to come true. At least in part. For now, Mubarak is still in place. It is always the president. It remains an obsession.

The spectacle of hundreds of thousands of Egyptians, in these hours on the streets, along the valley of the Nile, from Aswan to the Mediterranean, leaves room for doubt. It will be much longer? The people out of the mosques after prayers, he wants to celebrate "the Friday of departure" and he was right to do so in advance, because it remains physically in place, and continues to be an obsession, in fact a dictator Mubarak has already embalmed .

And it is a burden for many. He himself said that if it goes in September to the end of their mandate. But it is not guaranteed to remain the two full seasons as a living president. In fact what is at stake now is the "after Mubarak." The premature announcement of the boy on the Kasr el-Nil bridge was not many fields in the air.

The dictator is no longer a true dictator. A leader without a future, a future which could be as little as days or weeks, counts for little. And in these hours Mubarak is at the center of negotiations that do not concern him as a man of power. Because, in fact, the power did not have it anymore.

It is a symbol. A shadow embarrassing. He wants to go head-on. The military pride prevents him from escaping as Ben Ali of Tunisia. Neither accepts the idea of resignation. The gesture would be to acknowledge the crimes imputatigli opposition. So think even the military caste, who does not want to see who was for decades the most influential of his generals to insult exposed tomorrow processes.

Processes that eventually could involve a large part of his collaborators, among them there are many senior armed forces. Who after Mubarak? What is at stake is short, the regime which the military and big business were the backbone. Formally remaining in power until after the fifth and last term, Hosni Mubarak will, at least on the official plan, the president who initiated the reforms put forward by the Liberal square.

And out of sight, battered, but legitimately free. And he will save the regime, albeit reformed. This seems to be the concern of Lt. Gen. Omar Suleiman, who was appointed vice president in the midst of crisis, and indeed the strong man of the situation. Omar Suleiman and then asks that the constitutional rules are respected and that the president has remained faithful to that (also as head of the secret service) to complete the mandate.

You change the laws, but the president does not hunt. It does not hurt the honor of the military caste. The old, the privileged interlocutors of Lt. Gen. Suleiman disagree. Americans gallop, protesting, threatening to take military aid to Egypt. They are in a hurry. Damn fast. Robert M.

Gates, Secretary of Defense, the storm of phone calls colleague, Field Marshal Mohamed Tantawi, urging him to hasten the transition. That is to liquidate as soon as possible and Mubarak to immediately start reforms. It 's the only way to defuse the protest and the risks involved. Calls from Washington for Suleiman no longer count.

Barack Obama has sent a special envoy (Frak G. Wisner, former ambassador to Cairo) to persuade Mubarak to leave, but after the first interview, Mubarak has not wanted to meet more. The Americans would like to see Sami Enan, the army chief, Omar Suleiman Mohamed Tantawi and first formed a committee to start as soon as possible constitutional reforms.

It recommended to engage in negotiations with the opposition Muslim Brotherhood also, not to let them off leash. Egyptian generals, wounded in their nationalism, do not hide the discomfort to the insistent American interference. But it certainly can not ignore them altogether. Until Tahrir Square is a large camp in which they live die-hard opposition to Mubarak can produce accidents capable of changing scenarios.

The army surrounds it and check the documents of those who flock there every manifestation to power protest. After sunset, the open space in the heart of the capital was saturated and interminable queues for men and women waiting in vain to enter it. The crowd overflowed on both sides of the Nile.

All social classes were represented. Whole families of the middle classes, professionals, students, workers, people in the underprivileged suburbs. Not missing the Muslim Brotherhood, who have won a consideration, perhaps unprecedented, having been accepted as inevitable partners in Egypt with more democratic institutions.

Until yesterday they were outlawed but tolerated. For eleven days, and last hours expressed by a mass of unpublished protesters, the demand that Mubarak is dominant if it goes away. It 'just the obsession of the day, far from over as I write. The possibility that the dictator is prolonging the presidency until September, is considered unacceptable.

Consider that the grassroots and political leaders who held impromptu rallies. In recent days, the Nobel laureate ElBaradei has fleshed out his lack of popularity by making a few appearances and expressing its full solidarity with the demonstrators. Before that, had he stayed a long time abroad as a diplomat, was almost unknown.

Even the much more popular Amr Mussa, head of the Arab League and former Foreign Minister of Mubarak, made a quick raid. But the protest movement has no real leader. He's yet. The camp is intended to Tahrir Square alertness protest in the coming days. The people repeated like a rosary that so long as Mubarak is gone.

Throughout the Arab world, not only Egypt, have their eyes pointed at the heart of Cairo, near the Nile. And is an inspiration to other capitals in the revolt. It will not be easy to unseat the unshakeable. The massive participation in the "Friday's departure" has proven popular support on which they can rely on.

The army's main task will be to isolate and pulping the protest. Without taking casualties. Without violence. Stock is always in favor of Mubarak of Egypt. Not only that with clubs and knives attacked two days ago, protesters in Tahrir Square. Those thugs were hired. But Egypt so far remained silent (bourgeoisie enriched with the regime, the legion of officials, the people of the interior, devoted to tradition, the dictator of the moment) that could be heard.

No comments:

Post a Comment