Monday, January 17, 2011

The fear of contagion in the Arab world

A heavy silence accompanied, among Member States of the Arab League, the sharp reversal of Zine El-Ali AbidineBen, January 14. "It's a real shock," says one Arab ambassador posted in Paris, because the Tunisian regime was regarded as far more robust in the region. This revolution illustrates a crisis of the Arab state that can no longer be concealed.

" At the end of March in Baghdad, the annual summit of Arab League countries gather in effect or entities in a poor situation, threatened secession (Sudan, Yemen), "dysfunctional" (Lebanon, Iraq, Palestinian Authority) politically sclerotic (Syria, Libya, Algeria) or facing difficult Estates (Saudi Arabia, Egypt).

The Libyan head of state, Muammar Gaddafi, was the only regret the Tunisian revolution. "What is it? (...) There's nothing better than Zine [El-Abidine Ben Ali] to govern Tunisia," he said Saturday night January 15. Elsewhere, caution prevailed. The Arab League called for "a national consensus to end the crisis", while the Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC) expressed its solidarity with the Tunisian people, asked to maintain "security and chaos." In Egypt, the Cairo Stock Exchange began the week with a fall, following the uncertainty created by the situation in Tunisia.

The Egyptian authorities' decision to extend the period during which small groups represented in Parliament can submit a nomination for the presidential election, scheduled for September, was analyzed as a first consequence of the revolution Tunisia. The parliamentary elections of November 2010 have been marked by the ousting of the main opposition parties, secular or Islamist.

President Hosni Mubarak, in power since 1980, seeking a sixth term. Fear of contagion was confirmed in Syria, with the authorities' decision to declare on Sunday, up 72% subsidy for employees on heating fuels. This increase relates to two million employees and retirees, will cost $ 326 million (245 million euros) annually to the state.

Jordan has also announced a $ 225 million to reduce the price of fuel and commodities such as sugar and rice. As in Egypt, parliamentary elections in November 2010, were marked by the triumph of power challenged relatives. The main opposition, the Muslim Brotherhood, boycotted an election which biased.

In Yemen, where a constitutional reform bill could pave the way for a life presidency for President Ali Abdullah Saleh, students also demonstrated in the capital Sanaa in welcoming the lifting of Tunis. But it was in Algeria that the effect of the Tunisian revolution had its effect with the most violent immolation by fire of an unemployed 37-year imitating the gesture of despair Bouazizi Mohamed, the young itinerant greengrocer whose suicide was precipitated unrest in Sidi Bouzid, 17 December 2010, a prelude to the overthrow of Mr.

Ben Ali. Apart from the unemployed died of his burns, three other Algerians have sought the same way to end their days during the weekend. Monday morning, another case of sacrifice in Egypt was reported to Parliament. Once will not hurt, the Israeli authorities have responded in unison with the Arab regimes are concerned about the regional stability.

"Governments change and we do not know what will happen tomorrow, said Sunday the Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu. We can not sign a peace agreement blindly [the Palestinians] because we do not know whether this agreement will be honored." Gilles Paris Article published in the edition of 18.01.11

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