Sunday, January 30, 2011

Response to unrest in Egypt, America's difficult to say goodbye to Mubarak

Egypt is one of the closest U.S. allies, America has supported the government in Cairo billion - the discontent of the masses, but Obama can no longer ignore. So far he has had no overt pressure on Hosni Mubarak. When this strategy tips? It is one of those days that could have been used to be called "CNN-day" when the news station almost single-handedly claimed the global agenda.

Every minute the rigid members of the White House to the TV screens and watch the riots in the streets of Cairo. The briefings of the President address only one subject: the pictures from Egypt. Late in the evening to throw Barack Obama nor his agenda and appears on the "State Dining Room of the White House before the press.


He recently telephoned President Hosni Mubarak, a half hour. "When President Mubarak said the Egyptian people," said Obama, "he promised more democracy and better economic opportunities. I told him that he must fill those words with life." The Egyptians fought for human rights, stressed the U.S. president - and had to take to violence at any distance, the military and police, but the demonstrators. Is that a dissociation of Mubarak? An open support for the insurgents? Hard to say. "Everything is still in flux," groaned a senior advisor to Obama. "This development is extremely important foreign policy for the U.S.," says Martin Indyk, vice president of the Brookings Institution and former U.S. ambassador to Israel. "After all, Egypt is one of the strategically important American ally at all." Emphasizes careful not surprising that the White House stresses acting cautiously. Although it has signaled sympathy for the demonstrators in Cairo - but also the long-term partner Mubarak by no means abandoned.

Whose government receives each year after all, about $ 1.5 billion in military aid from the United States. Since 1975, also $ 28 billion aid from Washington went to the Nile. Egypt has made peace with Israel, Mubarak is the most important mediator in the Middle East negotiations. He is also, it provides at least Washington, a bulwark against the power of the radical Muslim Brotherhood in his country.

When Obama gave in June 2009 speech to the Islamic world, he did so pointedly in Cairo - but so also was the dilemma of America's friendship with Egypt. The U.S. president spoke eloquently about democracy and freedom, he stressed that "all men aspire to certain rights." But his speech was on the doorstep of a despot who can be brutal bludgeoning each protest.

Similarly, the undecided Democrat behaves now. After the outbreak of riots in Tunisia Obama telephoned Mubarak - but did not mention the situation in the country. In his State of the Nation on Tuesday said the U.S. president: "The United States stands with the people of Tunisia." The name of Egypt did not fall.

Later, Obama adviser said, the phrase, America support the democratic aspirations of all people, is yes to the protesters in Cairo have been addressed. Subtle it is hardly possible. In an interview with YouTube users on Thursday weighed carefully every word from Obama again. Mubarak is an important U.S.

ally, he said. "But I've always told him that only promote reforms of Egypt." The U.S. president warned the Egyptian government should be careful not to use force. But he added immediately, and the protesters on the streets would have to exercise this caution. The proud civilization threatens to sink in the sand, U.S.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton dares to something more. In a speech in mid-January in Doha, she said, Arab rulers had to have more democracy, otherwise their proud civilization literally threatened to sink in the sand. On Wednesday, they urged the Egyptian government, "peaceful protests or communications to social networking sites not to block." But Clinton is familiar with diplomatic compromises when it comes to Egypt.

Confidential message cables that were leaked to the Internet platform WikiLeaks show this as Clinton in March 2009, Mubarak met for the first time as U.S. Secretary of State, she received earlier in a memo from their diplomatic reporting, the name of four years ago, imprisoned and then released Opposition politician Aymen Just do not mention.

The only upset their interlocutors. Clinton held the cozies, at least in their public remarks by then, notes the New York Times "on. As an Arab reporter asked her after a critical report on the human rights situation in Egypt, was Clinton to consider, all countries could improve even on this issue.

Mubarak also held that the friends of their family. Jeffrey Feltman, America's top diplomat for the Middle East, says now: "I expect that we will use the Tunisian example to encourage other Arab leaders for change." A balancing act without a solution but how can unite America's strategic partnerships with a call for more democracy, it has already previous governments nut to crack - even the apostle of democracy the Bush administration.

George W. Bush called for during his time in Cairo, "the road to democracy in the Middle East show. But soon gave way and the Republicans. For particularly important U.S. allies like Egypt and Saudi Arabia was the "Freedom Agenda" is not. Now, could this dilemma by the pressure of Cairo's streets dissolve - could soon be so strong that even Obama's balancing act is not an option anymore.

Although his spokesman Robert Gibbs on Friday has been promised, the annual billion-grant from Washington to Cairo could come under scrutiny. But he refused to say if the attitude of the government to Mubarak has really changed. Robert Kagan of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington is that too little: "The Obama administration in the decades-long American tradition to cling to Mubarak, little changed - although it is clear that he his country to disaster out." But it would have long since ceased to Mubarak, Kagan argues in the Washington Post.

"Egypt will explode. And then the U.S. government is on the wrong side."

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