Ollanta Humala continues to gain ground in the polls on the eve of the Peruvian presidential elections. Nine days after the first round, held on 10 April, the former army commander and now candidate wins Peru nationalist alliance has consolidated for the first time this season, clear leadership. Two polls of likely voters released today put him in the lead, followed closely by three candidates statistically tied, so it is impossible to predict at this point who will contest the presidency in a runoff almost inevitable.
This is undoubtedly the tightest election campaign the country's history. The study by the Datum, published by the newspaper Peru 21, gives 21.4% of votes in a simulation, a difference of nearly four percentage points from its previous survey, while the survey of the Institute of Public Opinion Catholic University attributed 26.9% of the valid votes.
Fight the second former president Alejandro Toledo, Keiko Fujimori (daughter of convicted former president) and Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, former Prime Minister of Toledo and now candidate of the Alliance for the Great Shift, who has also grown strongly in recent weeks. The two polls released Friday put these three candidates in a virtual dead heat at around 19%, while confirming the sharp decline of Luis Castañeda, the former mayor of Lima, who entered the presidential campaign as a leader with an intention vote of about 24% and now can barely half, placing it in fifth place and increasingly less likely.
The advance of Humala in preferences has caused nervousness in the other candidates and financial agents and some media, because it is the candidate with the most reformist discourse and the only one left from those who are likely to win. His plans include a review of the economic model that has enabled the country to more than 10 years of growth to a more equitable distribution of wealth, constitutional reform, revision of trade agreements and contracts signed by the State private companies and government intervention in strategic sectors such as energy, ports and telecommunications, in many cases in the hands of foreign companies.
Although his speech has moderated over 2006, when he was defeated by Alan Garcia in the second round, is still seen by opponents as a radical. In contrast to the nationalist candidate, the other four candidates present, with nuances, the continuity of economic policy. Of these, the one with the most loyal constituency is Keiko Fujimori, with about 20%, the fans who miss their father, who ruled between 1990 and 2000.
Toledo, however, is falling after being loose leader a few weeks ago, and has staked his speech, which was described as extremely liberal proposals such as the decriminalization of abortion and homosexual marriage, to appear as "safe voting" Covered in the good memories we have of their management, between 2001 and 2006.
Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, meanwhile, aims to be the surprise of the election. Two months ago, former Prime Minister Alejandro Toledo, an economist who has recognized himself as a millionaire and has businesses and properties in the United States led the preferences only in the so called socio A population with higher incomes.
With an intense campaign has succeeded in reducing the level and get into the fight, rising from 4% to 17.5%, according to the survey datum. Amid such uncertainty, the fact is that Humala's amazing progress has disrupted what was predicted relatively quiet as a choice among several candidates who were short to maintain the country's economic model.
Among those who have expressed concern highlights the Nobel laureate Mario Vargas Llosa, who previously held that a runoff between Humala and Fujimori would be like choosing "between cancer and AIDS" and reaffirmed on Thursday. "Like many Peruvians see with a lot of concern about what might happen on April 10 that would be lost ten years of very good run by Peru, very good direction," he said in an interview to a television channel. 
This is undoubtedly the tightest election campaign the country's history. The study by the Datum, published by the newspaper Peru 21, gives 21.4% of votes in a simulation, a difference of nearly four percentage points from its previous survey, while the survey of the Institute of Public Opinion Catholic University attributed 26.9% of the valid votes.
Fight the second former president Alejandro Toledo, Keiko Fujimori (daughter of convicted former president) and Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, former Prime Minister of Toledo and now candidate of the Alliance for the Great Shift, who has also grown strongly in recent weeks. The two polls released Friday put these three candidates in a virtual dead heat at around 19%, while confirming the sharp decline of Luis Castañeda, the former mayor of Lima, who entered the presidential campaign as a leader with an intention vote of about 24% and now can barely half, placing it in fifth place and increasingly less likely.
The advance of Humala in preferences has caused nervousness in the other candidates and financial agents and some media, because it is the candidate with the most reformist discourse and the only one left from those who are likely to win. His plans include a review of the economic model that has enabled the country to more than 10 years of growth to a more equitable distribution of wealth, constitutional reform, revision of trade agreements and contracts signed by the State private companies and government intervention in strategic sectors such as energy, ports and telecommunications, in many cases in the hands of foreign companies.
Although his speech has moderated over 2006, when he was defeated by Alan Garcia in the second round, is still seen by opponents as a radical. In contrast to the nationalist candidate, the other four candidates present, with nuances, the continuity of economic policy. Of these, the one with the most loyal constituency is Keiko Fujimori, with about 20%, the fans who miss their father, who ruled between 1990 and 2000.
Toledo, however, is falling after being loose leader a few weeks ago, and has staked his speech, which was described as extremely liberal proposals such as the decriminalization of abortion and homosexual marriage, to appear as "safe voting" Covered in the good memories we have of their management, between 2001 and 2006.
Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, meanwhile, aims to be the surprise of the election. Two months ago, former Prime Minister Alejandro Toledo, an economist who has recognized himself as a millionaire and has businesses and properties in the United States led the preferences only in the so called socio A population with higher incomes.
With an intense campaign has succeeded in reducing the level and get into the fight, rising from 4% to 17.5%, according to the survey datum. Amid such uncertainty, the fact is that Humala's amazing progress has disrupted what was predicted relatively quiet as a choice among several candidates who were short to maintain the country's economic model.
Among those who have expressed concern highlights the Nobel laureate Mario Vargas Llosa, who previously held that a runoff between Humala and Fujimori would be like choosing "between cancer and AIDS" and reaffirmed on Thursday. "Like many Peruvians see with a lot of concern about what might happen on April 10 that would be lost ten years of very good run by Peru, very good direction," he said in an interview to a television channel.
No comments:
Post a Comment