There is a specter that hovers in the White House: his name is Jimmy Carter. It is the face of the man who embodied painfully the limits of good intentions. Any time that drips away without a happy ending in Egypt, Obama has to walk in the dark, thanks to the intelligence services once again fallen asleep and taken by surprise, as in Russia after the Brezhnev, as the Shah in Iran, as in ' Egypt's Mubarak, the very thin wire stretched between the pressure to change his friend yesterday and the feeling that America wants to sew a custom post-regime, knowing that there are no military options to release the Cairo regime change by force.
The memory of the disaster of 1979, which has now seen as the CIA and the intelligence services blatantly caught out by an epochal event, returns as a fever, chills that regularly resurfaces when Washington measures the distance that lies between preaching democracy to other people's houses and get it.
There are days that remind us too closely at the throne of the Shah swept from the streets in revolt in Tehran, and Iran became the strongest American ally in the region to the mortal enemy of Satan, while Carter hesitated and wrung their hands helplessly until the seizure of hostages and the disastrous expedition to rescue them.
The events that gave the final blow to the faltering presidency of Carter. It starts, in the newspapers, chat and blogs on the Internet, in the journalists' questions last night compared the President televised live, to resurface the curse of a question that every international crisis, the years of Communist victory Mao Zedong on the Nationalists of Chiang Kaishek in China (another surprise) who lost to Egypt? For now, publications like the National Journal blog, or an expert in things like the Middle East Professor Juan Cole, the answer is still negative, or cautious.
Barack Obama is not Jimmy Carter, Egypt is not Iran, the square of Cairo is not controlled by fundamentalist Shiite clerics and, above all, Egypt has not been lost on anyone. Indeed, the circle that Obama and Hillary Clinton have impressed the U.S. position going dall'attendismo Pilate and clearly displaced the early hours of the public demand to leave immediately, Mubarak also repeated last night, they believe that this time, as opposed to thirty-two ago, America has not to be tacked to sail upwind.
But the line between invoking the intervention of political interference in the U.S. and curse the rest of the world, is always labilissimo, because the previous count. The identification between the hated regime of the "Peacock", the Pahlavi throne, and that America, who organized the overthrow of the elected president, Mossadegh, to control Iran's oil and immediately placed Washington among the demons to exorcise.
Even in the Egypt of 2011, thirty years of support for Hosni Mubarak tarnish the credibility of the White House, like that of Europeans. "We hear your voice," he repeated yesterday Obama. For now, even the Republican opposition to Obama relies on decisions of the President without contest, as did one of the top Republican leader, Sen.
Mitch O'Connell. Emerge, but no shots or acute hysterical Islamophobia, fears for the Muslim Brotherhood movement, the only major organized force in opposition to Mubarak. It is known, and reassuring, that Egypt, with modest reserves of crude oil in order to survive have to rely on the rest of the world and its good international relations, as well as his army is based on the two million U.S.
dollars annually to exist. Yet one thing in common between 2011 and 1979 that opened the door for Reagan after the humiliation of Carter exists and restless days of the White House. Like Carter, a man of impeccable reputation and immense good will translated into the Camp David peace between Sadat and Begin, Obama also appears as a man with the best intentions, but unable to translate them into action.
Israel, Netanyahu is too weak at home, has slammed the door on the request to freeze its expansion into the lands which should be the future Palestinian state. Iran has continued to move along the road of nuclear energy. China shows no sign of loosening its grip on dissent or to allow its currency to float on the markets and thus reduce the competitiveness of its exports doped by low value of the renminbi.
Obama preaches well, how well he preached the doctrine devoted teacher Georgian, Jimmy Carter, but the world does not listen. It remains a sincere and solemn invocation of "democracy" also repeated last night, not knowing what democracy can produce. In the postwar years, when Greece held free elections that the Communists seemed certain to win, was asked President Eisenhower if he realized the risk.
"This is the risk of democracy - said the imperturbable old general - when it invokes, then be prepared to live with its results." 
The memory of the disaster of 1979, which has now seen as the CIA and the intelligence services blatantly caught out by an epochal event, returns as a fever, chills that regularly resurfaces when Washington measures the distance that lies between preaching democracy to other people's houses and get it.
There are days that remind us too closely at the throne of the Shah swept from the streets in revolt in Tehran, and Iran became the strongest American ally in the region to the mortal enemy of Satan, while Carter hesitated and wrung their hands helplessly until the seizure of hostages and the disastrous expedition to rescue them.
The events that gave the final blow to the faltering presidency of Carter. It starts, in the newspapers, chat and blogs on the Internet, in the journalists' questions last night compared the President televised live, to resurface the curse of a question that every international crisis, the years of Communist victory Mao Zedong on the Nationalists of Chiang Kaishek in China (another surprise) who lost to Egypt? For now, publications like the National Journal blog, or an expert in things like the Middle East Professor Juan Cole, the answer is still negative, or cautious.
Barack Obama is not Jimmy Carter, Egypt is not Iran, the square of Cairo is not controlled by fundamentalist Shiite clerics and, above all, Egypt has not been lost on anyone. Indeed, the circle that Obama and Hillary Clinton have impressed the U.S. position going dall'attendismo Pilate and clearly displaced the early hours of the public demand to leave immediately, Mubarak also repeated last night, they believe that this time, as opposed to thirty-two ago, America has not to be tacked to sail upwind.
But the line between invoking the intervention of political interference in the U.S. and curse the rest of the world, is always labilissimo, because the previous count. The identification between the hated regime of the "Peacock", the Pahlavi throne, and that America, who organized the overthrow of the elected president, Mossadegh, to control Iran's oil and immediately placed Washington among the demons to exorcise.
Even in the Egypt of 2011, thirty years of support for Hosni Mubarak tarnish the credibility of the White House, like that of Europeans. "We hear your voice," he repeated yesterday Obama. For now, even the Republican opposition to Obama relies on decisions of the President without contest, as did one of the top Republican leader, Sen.
Mitch O'Connell. Emerge, but no shots or acute hysterical Islamophobia, fears for the Muslim Brotherhood movement, the only major organized force in opposition to Mubarak. It is known, and reassuring, that Egypt, with modest reserves of crude oil in order to survive have to rely on the rest of the world and its good international relations, as well as his army is based on the two million U.S.
dollars annually to exist. Yet one thing in common between 2011 and 1979 that opened the door for Reagan after the humiliation of Carter exists and restless days of the White House. Like Carter, a man of impeccable reputation and immense good will translated into the Camp David peace between Sadat and Begin, Obama also appears as a man with the best intentions, but unable to translate them into action.
Israel, Netanyahu is too weak at home, has slammed the door on the request to freeze its expansion into the lands which should be the future Palestinian state. Iran has continued to move along the road of nuclear energy. China shows no sign of loosening its grip on dissent or to allow its currency to float on the markets and thus reduce the competitiveness of its exports doped by low value of the renminbi.
Obama preaches well, how well he preached the doctrine devoted teacher Georgian, Jimmy Carter, but the world does not listen. It remains a sincere and solemn invocation of "democracy" also repeated last night, not knowing what democracy can produce. In the postwar years, when Greece held free elections that the Communists seemed certain to win, was asked President Eisenhower if he realized the risk.
"This is the risk of democracy - said the imperturbable old general - when it invokes, then be prepared to live with its results."
- Iran, Reagan, Carter (23/01/2011)
- "Obama to Egypt's Coptic Christians: "If I were in your shoes right now I’d be..." "LEAVING! What a GOOD idea!"" and related posts (30/01/2011)
- Letter: Obama repeats Carter's mistake (01/02/2011)
- Egypt is the new Iran, or how Obama I is Carter II. (31/01/2011)
- Obama's Carter Moment (29/01/2011)
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