Wednesday, January 26, 2011

"Winning the Future". Obama prepares the State of the Union speech and thought in the elections

When Barack Obama tonight will give the State of the Union speech before Congress and television screens of America, will begin the campaign for the presidential elections of 2012. Not only that, above all, know what will be issues and political shape of the two years that will bring new elections for the White House.

Some advances are already there. Barack Obama discussed the economy, creating jobs, investment and the need to "bet on the future of America." The goal is clear: change the image that many Americans have of him - that of a liberal committed to the welfare state - to become a pragmatic centrist, progressive with veins.

The State of the Union speech is the traditional message that the U.S. president addresses the country, summing things done and anticipating those to be done. For those of you tonight (21 hours to plan, the 3 am in Italy), Obama has taken a significant title: "Winning the Future". His bet is to find a balance between development and spending cuts, including new investment and fiscal responsibility.

Just before his speech, House Republicans held a vote, largely symbolic, committing to deep cuts to federal spending and an unspecified (at least 20% of the budget over the next 10 years). According to the previews leaked from the White House, Obama will seek to dismiss this very narrow view, pessimistic, imploding economy and American society.

For Obama, the president came to power in a time of deep crisis of the "American system", there are signs of recovery and should be examined. Unemployment remains high, above 9%, but in the last year have been recovered more than a million jobs. Many analysts believe the U.S. economy will recover twice for the next 12 months.

"An opportunity that we must not lose," Obama will say tonight, launching a policy of investment in at least three areas: education, innovation and infrastructure. "China, Germany do not lose time in India modernize their economies," said Obama in the State of the Union speech last year.

"My primary goal - say Obama this year - is to ensure that America is competitive, and that we are unable to create jobs not only immediate, but especially in the future." The president, moreover, need to revamp the image of a political dynamic, open to the needs of big business. So far, his main political achievement - health care reform - has set the collective imagination as a sensitive liberal achievements of the Welfare (but half of America, the Republican, is a spendthrift and assistance).

To increase the consensus ahead of 2012 presidential elections, Obama wants to recover the votes of the independents, the moderates, the big business in recent months have turned their backs. All of its latest moves have gone in this direction: the tax cuts, which were confirmed on income above $ 250,000 and the appointment of banker William Daley to head its staff, the CEO of General Electric, Jeffrey Immelt, leader of the team of economic advisers at the White House.

The emphasis on the themes of economic expansion, employment, investment (as well as the necessary reduction in the abyss of the federal debt, which reached a record $ 14 000 billion dollars), it is the olive branch to Obama extends to the most centrist of the American electorate. There will obviously be much in his speech tonight: the uncertain war in Afghanistan, the security against terrorism, perhaps the question most controls on the sale of weapons (some of the victims of the massacre of Tucson will sit next to Michelle Obama in the stands).

But the heart of what the president will stay there, in an attempt to provide an image of America is still recovering future, a way out of crisis. The man elected to the White House in the wake of a wave of global hope, therefore, is to manage the last two years of his presidency on a purely national basis.

A bit 'to keep the chair. A little 'because the reality was more harsh, complicated, elusive dream promised. Roberto Festa

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