Belgium progresses. She now has the European record for the longest political crisis. Depressed, the Netherlands who had held since 1977 with 208 days without government. Now is the best world performance is to the Belgians: they have no government on March 30, they fight a recent record ... Iraq set to 289 days.To see how things are going to Brussels, it is reasonable to think that the goal is reached. For it is certain the tick-tock tick-tock of the clock Belgian is not about to stop. Its mechanism is it that a bomb or a quiet belfry chimes punctuating the long wait for a shared population between disinterest, fear and suppressed anger? Mystery, for the kingdom of Albert II, opinion and observers are divided into three camps.
First, the pessimists who think that resigned the unending crisis will end with the breakup of the country. Then, the pessimistic realists who believe that the institutional scaffolding of the state is so complex that it actually makes it impossible to split. Finally, weary pessimists who expect an external event, eg a natural disaster or a mobilization antibelge speculators in financial markets, finally brings the world of politics to reason.
The first assumption obviously can not be excluded, although the flooding experienced by the country these days are not of sufficient magnitude to upset the hearts, mobilize and gather crowds Flemings and Walloons in a collegial momentum. Especially as water, which also appears regionalized, has also invaded the French part of the kingdom.
The second assumption - the evil markets reduce Belgium to a poor northern Greece - could it take the body from an international rating agency gave few months with Belgian leaders to take over and form a credible coalition, otherwise note of their state will be degraded. Saturday, January 8, one of the most influential newspapers in the kingdom, De Standaard has summarized a fairly speaking situation: adorned with a rather ambiguous title, "The vultures over Belgium", its "a "showed two raptor claws stuck in a dead branch while waiting for their prey.
The famous "speculators" had finally a face. Problem: the "crisis of basic trust" described by economist Geert Noels's not just a few international traders but all sections of the Belgian population itself. Since the recent failure of "conciliator" Johan Vande Lanotte, including the institutional proposals were rejected by both major parties Flemish, a kind of general mobilization was organized.
Business leaders, university, financial sector or cultural but also political leaders - including some who are directly involved in interminable negotiations! - Have appealed to reason and remember the compromises of the past. Taking a formula for Guy Bedos in 1981, two bosses, and Olivier Lefebvre Yves Delacollette, even wrote in Le Soir, "If this continues, I do not vote more: I'll shoot!" Affirming express themselves as "citizens who are tired," the two bosses "required" political leaders approached the scale of the challenge of the moment, namely, "historical".
Among dozens of calls more or less realistic, but few have dared to mention the heart of the Belgian crisis and it raises the fundamental question: can we negotiate the reform of a state and then leave in the hands of a man and a party that have included the disappearance of that State at the top of their agenda? Because that is what is happening since the independence Bart De Wever and New Flemish Alliance (NVA) have triumphed handily in June 2010.
Do they want to, can they negotiate? Did not they'd better hurry to the process that would enable them to satisfy their ultimate dream? Today, the voters, who ensured the triumph of the strange Mr. De Wever, think, anyway, he will never accept any compromise and three-quarters of the Flemish blame the current deadlock on the French.
They have yet whose representatives largely supported the recent proposals for Johan Vande Lanotte, but fail to mention that they have, before that, contributed to the success of the NVA in opposing any institutional reform ... While ticking sounded a little stronger still, De Wever, unimpressed, took part, 5 and 6 January at a game show.
"The smartest man in the world", a very popular program of the Flemish public broadcaster, has secured his reputation before the 2010 elections. His appearance was it this time, intended to prove his lack of interest for the future of the kingdom? "An incredible spectacle," thought Paul De Grauwe, an economist at the Flemish University of Leuven and former senator.
Wondering why a political agreement had been reached so far, fell with the observer about: "There is only one possible answer. The NVA is not a solution because the party has a purpose, one to burst the whole, to get the fastest possible independence of Flanders ". Tick-tock, tick-tock ...
Email: stroobants @ bbc. fr. Jean-Pierre Stroobants Article published in the edition of 11.01.11
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